Current Foreign Policy WILL LEAD to world war 3

Discussion in 'Politics' started by Ucan'tEatBonds, Apr 20, 2014.

  1. I don't mean to boast, but 20 years ago I co-wrote threat analysis papers for Canadian Defense Department. Even though we are Canadians (weaker military), we take our work seriously just as much.

    I may be little out of the loop (little bit old school). But watching this entire Ukraine fiasco and remembering how things in the government work, particularly in military sector, I gotta tell you folks, I am getting seriously worried.

    And I am not worried for Russian Federation or the PRofChina.

    I am worried for us.

    Here is why.

    US foreign policy has over the past 3 decades formed almost 800 military bases (not counting drone bases, it would be +2000 in that case). Now that the world is covered as much as possible, the only frontier left is Russia and China. US has financially supported fringe and right sector elements in Ukraine to topple the Pro-Russian government. Everything worked as planned.

    Just one problem, Russians are completely, and I mean completely onto us. So are the Chinese, they know exactly what's going on. No one is fooling anyone anymore. In today's world, the scoreboard is completely in the open.

    If US keeps pushing Eastern European countries into NATO, if US starts putting Russia under serious sanctions (more than just wrist slaps). The situation will escalate to military confrontation. NON NUCLEAR military confrontation. That would then become Tactically Nuclear. The 3rd stage would be intercontinental nuclear. Don't let the media fool you with missile shields, any scenario they ran with more than 300 targets, the containment was only 88%, and Russia can muster FAR MORE than 300 targets. This is not counting China.

    This is one of those situations US needs to back off from. There is no way in hell Unites States would allow Canada to come under Russian or Chinese or Iranian influence. In the same way, Russia will not at any cost, allow Ukraine to fall under US/EU and NATO influence.

    Did you know that 30 % of Russian military hardware is contracted to be manufactured in Ukraine. 40% of Ukrainians have Russian ethnic family as cousins at the least. Eastern Ukraine is 45% Russian.

    I get what US is doing, this is a Up Yours Revenge for Snowden and few other things.

    But if US foreign policy goal is to instigate the slow beginning of world war 3, then they are right on track, right on track.

    Don't believe the popular media. Allies of United States other than Great Britain are far from willing to fight a major war. Europeans would scream surrender faster than you can fart.

    There is so little to gain by pushing Ukraine into NATO, and so much to lose.

    United States hubris comes from size of the military, but size of the military alone does NOT guarantee you successful war theater, that's the first thing you learn in military academy. Just that the damn politicos don't have a clue. And considering Obama Mamba quietly replaced all objective commanders with Obama loving puppets in the last 2 years.

    Kerry now goes to Ukraine more times a week than I change socks and CIA chief was just in Ukraine few days ago, no doubt promising support and teaching new government few tricks.

    I am seriously worried.

    Can you imagine Canadian Quebec separatists being supported by Russian Diplomats, and yet John McCain and few others were with Kiev rebels pumping his fist into the air. This is a serious provocation and if this policy continues, Russians will eventually engage the army, and if US responds, that's it.
     
  2. Wide Tailz

    Wide Tailz

    Interesting analysis, thanks for posting.

    There was just a blood red moon (total lunar eclipse) over California, on the Jewish Passover, the other day. I'm no expert in biblical signs in the heavens, but most people I know seem to think it correlates with warfare.
     
  3. Tsing Tao

    Tsing Tao

    Or it could just be a lunar eclipse.
     
  4. LEAPup

    LEAPup

    I often wonder if God will give a visual sing as a warning of things to come. I can't imagine a better one than a moon painted in blood...
     
  5. Tsing Tao

    Tsing Tao

    [​IMG]
     
  6. You know it wasn't painted and the color wasn't from blood.
     
  7. Excellent analysis. It paains me that a large percentage of republican pols seem intent on restarting the Cold War. Yes, they see highlighting this as a way to undermine Obama, but in my view they are seriously misreading both the mood of voters and what is in our best interests.

    Russia is a nation of chess players, and they have to appreciate the way Putin has counterattacked our Ukraine gambit.

    Ukraine is playing a very dangerous game. The list of countries and leaders who have relied on the US and Europe for security and been dumped on their heads is a long one. There is no way the congress or the US public will support a financial package on the Egypt/Israel scale for Ukraine. Actually, Ukraine will need a bigger package. Europe is struggling with austerity. Will their voters really pony up tens of billions for Ukraine? Western politicians are using this crisis to paint themselves as latter day Winston churchills, but they will never follow through. If you're running Ukraine, it would be a good idea to get a reality check before the west drifts off to leave you to face the Russian bear all by yourself.
     
  8. LEAPup

    LEAPup

    Ok... I'm pretty sure the moon can't be literally painted. Moreover, I'm pretty sure the moon couldn't be literally covered in blood.:confused:I was speaking in figure of speech in the description. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Figure_of_speech
     
  9. I know you knew all that leap. . Point was it wasn't a sign from god. I do t believe but even if I did I wouldn't look for a natural phenomenon to be a sign.
    But hell if it'll keep our ass out of the Ukraine and Russia's business then I'm all for it.
     
    #10     Apr 21, 2014