Crude Oil

Discussion in 'Technical Analysis' started by countryBoy641, Jan 6, 2022.

  1. Up more than $2.00 today.
    The old high (in the futures) was $85.41.
    The way it's running, that's not far off.
    This is a big bottoming pattern.
    Some oil pundits been saying that recently:
    "The cheap stuff is all gone"
    Too bad the FED can't print some Crude Oil.

    $WTIC_16_years.jpg
     
  2. Handle123

    Handle123

    Am waiting for crude to go up few bucks more than it be long term sell/hedge signal.
     
  3. bone

    bone

    You need to look at the dated expiries like N 23.
     
  4. OK, that means Nov 2023 ???
    Frankly, I don't think that matters.
    The chart I posted is monthly bars, 16 year range.
    I'm watching for a "paradigm shift" in commodity prices.
    (that means $WTIC at all time highs next few years).
    Time premiums don't matter much, I don't think.:)
     
  5. bone

    bone

    1. N is July, and

    2. An awful lot of professional Crude traders in Houston would beg to differ with you about the importance of Contango and Backwardation in the Crude markets.

     
  6. Yes, I am aware how Contango and Backwardation work.
    I just don't trade futures contracts, so I don't follow those data points.
    You maybe correct. My apologies.
    My positions right now are in the AG space (grains).
    They are working OK (just slightly underperforming the $SPX past 18 months),
    without all the sleepless BS overnights of being in the $SPX.
     
    bone likes this.
  7. xandman

    xandman

    @bone Are you calling a repeat of last Nov?
     
  8. $WTIC closed new recovery high today - $85.54.
    And $TNX strong close to $1.865
    A very clear message to the FED, as in the old Chinese Proverb/Curse:
    "May you have an interesting day."
     
  9. Handle123

    Handle123

    It's a major sell for me long term above 87.00, don't know if it's the top or not. Took over 100 tries selling Indexes and don't know if highs are in, but I stick with my rules since 1991. I love trading commodities long term.
     
  10. Not that it's any of my business, but why do you think it's a major sell above $87.00 ??
    Should oil producers be compelled to sell it to you at the old prices?
     
    #10     Jan 19, 2022