critique my option trade

Discussion in 'Options' started by never2old, Apr 16, 2020.

  1. never2old

    never2old

    the markets are moving up, what could possibly go wrong in the next week to this option expiry?

    bullish trade on TQQQ 55/60 debit call spread expiring April 24, cost ~$4, potential profit $1 or 25%.
     
  2. It's a bullish debit call vertical, nothing much to say.

    However, I take issue with your name/handle. ;-)
     
  3. never2old

    never2old

    thanks.

    oops, we must be related
     
  4. No one can predict the future.

    Roughly, at current historical volatility, there is 60% chance of TQQQ expiring on April 24th above $60.
    Are you using stop loss? If not and you make trades like this 10 times, you will loose 4 times x $400=$-1600 and win 6 times x $100=$600, you will be down 62.5%.
    Use a stop loss at $100, you should come out ahead.
    Staticsically speaking.

    I like low probability, high reward to risk trades, really they are the same, you just have to decide what your most comfortable with.

    Oh, I like your name handle.
     
    never2old likes this.
  5. never2old

    never2old


    thanks - yes & agree, I'm comfortable with [options] long trades as well as weekly trades, even 3-4 days before expiry, especially on high volume options, including closing positions before expiry - I'll even take 5% profit for a day,few days or a weeks effort.

    for me there are no hard fast rules that say 'wait till expiry'

    getting 5%/wk consistently 'we'd all be richer than we thought we could be'
     
    Last edited: Apr 16, 2020
  6. S2007S

    S2007S

    Now we have 3 of the same people talking to themselves. I think this pandemic is really getting to people!!
     
    TooEffingOld and Stamamarti like this.