Courtesy of Macro Man, Future Rationalizations as to Why Yellen Will Never Hike

Discussion in 'Economics' started by Tsing Tao, Mar 30, 2016.

  1. Tsing Tao

    Tsing Tao

    Yellen gave uber dovish testimony again yesterday, showing everyone the Yellen put is alive and well. Yellen is clearly out of her league.

    Great read.

    "When Doves Fly"

    April 27: Insufficient evidence of China recovery, non quarterly meeting (unofficial)

    June 15: 8 days before Brexit vote, too dangerous to risk market volatility

    July 27: Summer markets are too illiquid to handle a hike, non quarterly meeting (unofficial)

    September 21: Too close to US election

    November 2: Too close to US election, non quarterly meeting (unofficial)

    December 14: You saw what happened after the last time we hiked in December, right?
     
    babyjake1961 likes this.
  2. AbbotAle

    AbbotAle

    Too true, then in 2017 they'll be more reasons why rates can't be raised.
     
    babyjake1961 likes this.
  3. rates will rise when they have to rise and there is no other possibility
    in otherwords, when the fed loses control of the bond market
    Janet is just what we need, a doting mother who still allows the economy to live in her basement. They will move out soon enough, no reason to throw them out. If it gets too crowded she can always raise another .25, but in the back of her mind she must be realizing she can't accept anymore freeloaders.
     
  4. Tsing Tao

    Tsing Tao

    [​IMG]
     
  5. get use to it baby. Women are now 51% and they don't do things like we do.
     
  6. Tsing Tao

    Tsing Tao

    This isn't a woman thing. Bernanke was just as bad, if not worse.
     
  7. it goes deeper. At one time there were founding fathers. And you know how they were. Now there are founding mothers, and you know how they are. The world is changing for no other reason than the demographics male/female are changing.

    For instance, in a world where women are the majority, they may be more concerned about the death of young men in war rather than what it is they are fighting about.

    So all the facts of capitalism and free markets are still absoulutely true, but how to use those facts to our advantage is changing simply due to people deciding what they want changing. And I can tell you as a grumpy old man, these kids of mine today don't want what I wanted. So the world is changing.

    And judging the fed based on what we wanted may no longer be valid even though all the economic laws are unchanged for all time.
     
    Last edited: Mar 30, 2016

  8. what we know about free markets??? we dont' live in a free market.. we live in a completely controlled soon to be wildly out of control market.. boom bust cycles exaggerated by fed policy will be how its written down in the longer run.. the Fed controlling interest rates to this degree has now caused a completely bad signal and malinvestment
     
    der_kommissar likes this.
  9. ha,ha, How do you domesticate a market? A market is always free. If it wasn't free it wouldn't be a market.
     
  10. coercive government is how the market isn't free... The government goes from being small and passive to being large influential and coercive in nature.. but yes in some way the market in the longer run will have a say in the speculations of the government
     
    #10     Mar 30, 2016