https://www.theblaze.com/news/scientist-predicted-500k-deaths-now-says-20k @dozu888 was right all along.
Quit reading garbage: https://www.newscientist.com/articl...e-care-units-for-coronavirus-expert-predicts/ Neil Ferguson at Imperial College London gave evidence today to the UK’s parliamentary select committee on science and technology as part of an inquiry into the nation’s response to the coronavirus outbreak. He said that expected increases in National Health Service capacity and ongoing restrictions to people’s movements make him “reasonably confident” the health service can cope when the predicted peak of the epidemic arrives in two or three weeks. UK deaths from the disease are now unlikely to exceed 20,000, he said, and could be much lower. infectious diseases, how do they work? Ferguson’s model projected 2.2 million dead people in the United States and 500,000 in the U.K. from COVID-19 if no action were taken to slow the virus and blunt its curve. However, after just one day of ordered lockdowns in the U.K., Ferguson is presenting drastically downgraded estimates, revealing that far more people likely have the virus than his team figured. Now, the epidemiologist predicts, hospitals will be just fine taking on COVID-19 patients and estimates 20,000 or far fewer people will die from the virus itself or from its agitation of other ailments, as reported by New Scientist Wednesday.
I'd imagine this is how he arrived at the numbers: "Yes prime minister?" "The chaos out here is crazy. We can't report the full possible death toll. People will panic. Fix your model."
I'm guessing those flu deaths are averaged over 1 year and not the 3 to 6 months when the majority of people get it and die from it.