Classic Bear Market action, NOT normal correction action…

Discussion in 'Trading' started by brightside, Jan 22, 2022.

  1. This is classic bear market action, not normal correction action. We have had vicious intra day swings and then get slammed the end of day.. All rallies have been violently sold off. That is what a bear market looks like. We will get a few pops no doubt but the trend has changed and the bear will gain control. Those that buy and foolishly think its all clear will get slammed with selling. As I said, this needs to play out.
    When you have stocks like AMC and GME getting ridiculously bid up and everyone is buying all kinds of bitcoin and your hair stylist is giving stock tips, thats a bubble! Reddit and Robinhood= bubble
     
  2. LuckyMac

    LuckyMac

    It does seem like we're entering a bearish market which is completely normal. Its key to either hold long term no matter what so these events can be ridden out correction or bear market
     
  3. RedSun

    RedSun

    Those buy dip days are gone. Tech down 2% one day, it goes up 3% the next day from the buying on dips. That is just silly. Now it is down 2%, up 1%, then down 3% more. That is what a bear market is. Then there is no bounce.....
     
    VicBee, KCalhoun and nooby_mcnoob like this.
  4. Bear market now? Not necessarily.

    Corrections in a bull market act like a "mini-bear" market. Same type of behavior, but not for such a long time or big distance down.

    IMV, school is still out on whether this is a bear market or a correction in the bull.

    I could guess now as to whether a bear market has already started, but I won't conclude that until the indices close AND HOLD below critical(?) support. That be...

    Dow = 33,000
    SPX = 4,300
    COMPQ = 14,000-14,200


    Powell "dove speak" next Wednesday could accelerate the drop or turn it all around.

    FWIW
     
    Last edited: Jan 22, 2022
  5. bln

    bln

    Could be. From my view point we have had a continuous secular bull market since march of 2009. That is a 13 year period of rising stock market. Every bull market eventually comes to an end sooner or later. Who knows, too early to tell.
     
  6. Millionaire

    Millionaire

    The bubble is/was epic.
    Inflation has handcuffed the Fed for now.
    But as soon as they get a chance they will try blowing up the bubble again.
     
    Last edited: Jan 22, 2022
    nooby_mcnoob likes this.
  7. zdreg

    zdreg

    Your definition of a bear market is very narrow.
     
  8. QQQ yield is 0.5%. That is a dividend stock that is priced for massive growth if interest rates are (say) 2%.

    Is QQQ going to go up 5% annually over the next 10 years? Maybe.
     
  9. RedSun

    RedSun

    I would not care if this is a bear or bull market. But look at the valuation and P/E. That is what matters.

    MSFT: 33
    AAPL: 28.90
    GOOGL: 25.11
    FB: 22.5
    NFLX: 45.22
    NVDA: 61.92
    AMZN: 55.81

    Those are just so ridiculous. All of them get more room to fall down.
     
  10. [​IMG]
     
    #10     Jan 22, 2022