Black Swan Monday

Discussion in 'Trading' started by bond_trad3r_II, Mar 2, 2014.

  1. I'm long and I'm pissed. I know a crash is coming but I was hoping June or later.
     
  2. I hope Putin backs down and we bounce off of Ukraine. There is no growth from WW3 from those guys. Let's keep in a cold war, not a shooting war.
     
  3. <iframe width="420" height="315" src="//www.youtube.com/embed/JSUIQgEVDM4" frameborder="0" allowfullscreen></iframe>

    Something to vibe on while we wait for The End.
     
  4. <iframe width="560" height="315" src="//www.youtube.com/embed/-7OOKecS-WU" frameborder="0" allowfullscreen></iframe>

    Those Russians move quickly...
     
  5. bh_prop

    bh_prop

    Oh no, market is down nearly 1%!!

    Is that what qualifies as a black swan in this QE bull on steroids?
     
  6. The stock market has a knack for fading anything negative & reversing up, currently. Intradaydip that looks like it could have legs... Take it higher.... Negative corporate news... Dip & take it higher... Negative economic data... Dip & take it higher

    Until that stops happening, the logical course is: Obama tries to make Putin his bare-back b!tch... Dip and reverse higher :)
     
  7. We just had a 130 point rally with almost no pullbacks, and now a potential military conflict has started, we are at the most geopolitically risky point since 9/11 and the Iraq invasion a decade ago. If the market doesn't pull back at least 1/3 of that move in the next 2-3 days on this news, then it would be a crazily strong divergence. There are also plenty of further risks if the conflict escalates. Even if a deal is done, I doubt it will be done in the next 1-2 days - and markets usually sell off in the face of uncertainty. So, IMO this is a good place for a short, and there is a nice close stop near the old all-time highs to limit the risk.
     
  8. ktm

    ktm

    Sorry I missed the "black swan" aspect of this?
     
  9. zdreg

    zdreg

    there is no black swan event.
    obama is studying the cuban crisis under kennedy.
     
  10. zdreg

    zdreg

    remark is definitely in the running for...... remark of the year.
     
    #10     Mar 3, 2014