https://www.realclearpolling.com/latest-polls This might be the most underrated story of the election cycle. These poll results are pretty remarkable. You can have polls with a bias towards Democrats or Republicans based on the sample, but it's hard for this to be an outlier (oversampling of split-ticketing voters in favor of Trump). Between PA, MI, WI, AZ, NV, and VA Biden is underperforming the Democratic Senate candidate by 11-15 points. That is a massive, almost unbelievable split given the decline in split-ticket voting and how unpopular Trump has been according to approval ratings. I'm sure those races will tighten as the GOP candidate becomes more well known. I think it helps that the Democrats are all incumbents, except for an open seat in AZ where Kari Lake is widely seen as a joke and is clearly the worst candidate running in any swing state. However, keep in mind that in 2020 Biden ran ahead of most Democratic Senate candidates. The Susan Collins margin of victory was seen as a surprise as many pollsters had that race flipping to the Democrats. Now the reverse is true, with Trump's margin over other Republicans larger than Biden's margin over other Democrats ever was. VA +2 Biden +17 Kaine (15 point differential) PA +3 Trump +12 Casey (15 point differential) MI +2 Trump +9 Slotkin (11 point differential) WI +5 Trump +7 Baldwin (12 point differential) NV +4 Trump +7 Rosen (11 point differential) AZ +7 Trump +7 Gallego (14 point differential)