https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/504459-biden-topping-trump-in-six-swing-states-poll?amp Biden topping Trump in six swing states president carried in 2016 Presumptive Democratic presidential nominee Joe Biden holds substantial leads over President Trump in several battleground states ahead of the 2020 election, according to a New York Times-Siena College survey released Thursday. The poll showed the former vice president leading Trump by at least 6 points in North Carolina, Arizona, Florida, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin and Michigan, states that are considered critical to winning the election in November. Trump won each of those states in 2016. Biden holds commanding 11-point leads over Trump in Michigan and Wisconsin among registered voters. He also has a 10-point lead in Pennsylvania, as well as a 9-point advantage in North Carolina. He leads the president by 7 points in Arizona and 6 points in Florida. The findings come as surveys continue to show Biden with solid leads over the president in head-to-head election match-ups. A Times-Siena College survey released on Wednesday showed him with a 14-point lead nationally over Trump. The new surveys show that Trump continues to fare better in relatively white battleground states. But they also show Biden's standing improving: A Time-Siena survey released last October had the former vice president with an advantage of just 2 percentage points across the same six swing states; Biden's lead across those states is now 9 points, the Times noted. Just 42 percent of voters surveyed approve of Trump's handling of the presidency, while 54 percent disapprove it. The survey also shows that many voters in the battleground states do not approve of how Trump has handled the coronavirus and the protests that swept the nation following the police killing of George Floyd in Minneapolis late last month. Forty-one percent said they approved of the president's handling of the COVID-19 outbreak, while just 31 percent said they approved how Trump has addressed the demonstrations against racial injustice. Still, a majority of voters, 56 percent, say they approve of Trump's handling of the economy. Trump's advantage with white voters has substantially diminished, according to the poll. The president leads Biden by 4 points among that demographic. The figure represents a significant shift from a similar survey from last year, which found the president with a 12-point lead. Biden holds sizable leads over Trump among Black and Hispanic voters. He's also leading the president by 19 points among women, the new polls found. The Times-Siena College poll was conducted from June 8 to June 18 among a population of 3,870 registered voters across Pennsylvania, Michigan, Florida, Arizona, Wisconsin and North Carolina. The margin of error is 1.8 percentage points.
By Chuck Todd, Mark Murray, Carrie Dann and Melissa Holzberg WASHINGTON — The poll numbers are now undeniable: President Trump is facing the deepest hole for an incumbent seeking re-election since George H.W. Bush in 1992. And we know how that ’92 race played out for the incumbent. Just look at the polling data for Trump over the last 24 hours: Wednesday’s national New York Times/Siena poll had Trump down 14 points to Joe Biden, becoming the third gold-standard, live-caller poll this month to show the president trailing by double digits. Battleground polls out today from the New York Times/Siena find Trump down 6 points in Florida, 7 points in Arizona, 9 points in North Carolina, 10 points in Pennsylvania, and 11 points each in Michigan and Wisconsin. Proving that New York Times/Siena isn’t an outlier, the gold-standard poll of Wisconsin, the Marquette Law poll, yesterday showed Trump down 8 points in the Badger State. And just for emphasis, a Quinnipiac poll that was released Wednesday found Trump down in Ohio — albeit by just 1 point, well inside the margin of error. That’s nine rough polls for Trump within just the last day — all coming in the aftermath of the president moving on from the coronavirus (but the coronavirus not moving on from the country), as well as his handling of the racial protests across the nation. And guess where Trump travels to today: Wisconsin. Of course, Trump has been in this kind of polling hole before, especially after the release of the “Access Hollywood” video in October of 2016. And the memories of ’16 will have plenty of pundits and analysts never closing the door on the president’s chances, as well as plenty of Americans doubting the polls. But ask yourself: Come September and October, will coronavirus cases no longer be spiking? Will the unemployment rate no longer be in double digits? Will Americans be confident to send their children back to school? And will Trump have adopted a new message and tone, meeting concerned independents and swing voters where they are right now, as Sen. John Thune, R-S.D., urged on Wednesday? It’s entirely possible this presidential contest narrows in the next four months. But it’s also entirely possible, as National Journal’s Josh Kraushaar writes, that we have a potential landslide staring right at us.