Banking Equities Plummeting and FOMC?

Discussion in 'Trading' started by hhiusa, Jun 14, 2017.

  1. hhiusa

    hhiusa

    Are banking stocks dropping on pre-announcement jitters conerning the Fed? The decision is considered to be a foregone conclusion. Additionally, it would seem like "this too shall pass", rather quickly.

    I like what @tommcginnis said in another post "announcement at 2, then add fuel to fire around 2:30". Good time to buy short-term options on banks.

    [​IMG]
     
    vanzandt likes this.
  2. Interest rates on the long end of the yield curve are dropping. Banks need them high to make profits.
     
    Last edited: Jun 14, 2017
    murray t turtle likes this.
  3. They've been giving a bearish signal even going into last week's tech correction. No surprises here. Trading ranges seem to be hovering within or around Friday's candles (true of both tech and finance). Ordinary market noise / trend to me, nothing more...nothing special in the volume.
     
  4. Weak CPI print, thus lower rates (as someone already pointed out), which means lower NIMs, less volatility, etc etc etc
     
  5. vanzandt

    vanzandt

    GS $222.50 straddle @$4 anybody?
    2 days left on it. Might not be a bad play for a few %.
     
  6. hhiusa

    hhiusa

    @vanzandt, I will definitely be doing a GS play, just not that one. Banking sector down -1.37% based upon a avg vol weighted measurement.

    Avg vol for NYSE banking stocks is 326,691,200 for the day. However, only 164,445,000 have been as of 10:40 am PST. That is more than halfway through the day and only half of the avg vol. I am going to have to disagree with beerntrading about the volume.

    595 equities have an avg vol greater than 1M on the NYSE for an avg vol of 2,419,019,700. Current vol is unlikely to reach that level by end of day. Maybe volume will pick up post-FOMC.

    Automotive - completely down both in price and in volume
    [​IMG]

    Chemicals - completely down and quite low volume
    [​IMG]

    Oil - for the amount of movement it is experiencing, I would expect higher volume.
    [​IMG]
     
    Last edited: Jun 14, 2017
    vanzandt likes this.
  7. hhiusa

    hhiusa

  8. vanzandt

    vanzandt

    Looks like that straddle is worth about $5.20 now. That was an easy call.
     
  9. hhiusa

    hhiusa

    222.50 call is now worth 7.40. Let's see what happens tomorrow. I bet there will be a correction.

    Have you exited?
     
    Last edited: Jun 14, 2017
  10. sss12

    sss12

    @hhiusa did you get long the 222.50 call ?
     
    #10     Jun 14, 2017