Does anyone know the difference between the Australian AIG PMI vs Markit PMI? Both are manufacturing but both give different readings. Sometimes the AIG PMI rises when the Markit PMI falls. Which one do I follow. Maybe there's a comparable situation in the U.S between PMI sources?
The Australian PMI will be have a larger China trade influence than markit PMI due to the fact obviously that Australia has a greater share of trade with that country. USA for example has Canada and Mexico as major exporting markets while Australia has China for the majority of our mining exports (and tourism) due to China being a major manufacturer and close by neighbour. The spat Western countries are having with China atm is causing a negative effect on Chinese trade. The Australian Industry Group (AIG) Manufacturing index rates the relative level of business conditions in the sector. The data is based on a survey of about 200 manufacturers. The Service PMI release is published monthly by Markit Economics. The data are based on surveys of over 400 executives in private sector service companies. The surveys cover transport and communication, financial intermediaries, business and personal services, computing & IT, hotels and restaurants. My opinion, the sample base is too small for accuracy.
Different countries have differing industries, differing strengths and weaknesses and can trend in opposing ways. One country's economy may have no bearing on another. One country may have more political and economic clout than another. I suppose looking at the exchange rates trends will give an idea that one cannot proxy everyone in the same boat, ie what is good or bad for China or USA is good for another country.
Well I believe there are European, American and Australian PMI's, also Japan, there may be more maybe. Are you referring just to Australian?
Yes! Australia has 2 PMI's by 2 different organisations. Both for Australia. Both Manufacturing. Why the difference in output?