Are you going to play the election?

Discussion in 'Politics' started by BMK, Sep 26, 2024.

  1. BMK

    BMK

    What are you going to buy or sell if you think Trump is going to win?

    What are you going to buy or sell if you think Harris is going to win?

    Are you going to hedge the bet?

    What about the possibility of civil unrest/constitutional crisis/attempted coup/martial law/etc. if one or both candidates accuse the other of stealing the election?

    Anyone trying to bet on or hedge against that kind of event?

    Whatever the trade is...

    Is it already priced in? If it isn't, why not?
     
  2. Overnight

    Overnight

    Nope, not trying it. Waiting until January. I remember when Trump won in 2016, and the market went berzerker mode north because of his tax cuts for businesses promise.

    And for sure, 2017 was a nice melt-up year.

    But this time around? Holy smokes, nobody knows what to expect.
     
  3. zghorner

    zghorner

    I think Chase Oliver is going to win. what should I buy?
     
  4. maxinger

    maxinger

    I am going to buy when the chart says it is on the uptrend
    irregardless of whether Trump or Harris wins.

    I am going to sell when the chart says it is on the downtrend.
    irregardless of whether Trump or Harris wins.

    I am going to have a hard STOP and no hedging.

    I don't care whether it has been priced in, or priced out.
    Just focus on the chart.

    I will let the authorities take care of
    civil unrest/constitutional crisis/attempted coup/martial law/stealing etc.

    And I focus on
    buy low sell high
    sell high buy low ....
     
    orbit23 and Lou Friedman like this.
  5. Handle123

    Handle123

    If Harris wins, am moving close to China.
     
  6. Sergio123

    Sergio123

    No difference whatsoever.

    It too shall pass when Comcast, Warner Brothers, and Newscorp moves on to something else.

    Now a large scale cyberattack on the other hand could cause some complications.
     
  7. Coin Flip

    Coin Flip

    You can gamble directly on the outcome of the election on PredictIt.

    And if you are outside the U.S. you can also gamble directly using Polymarket.
     
  8. tomkat22

    tomkat22

    Dunno,maybe buy stock in Smith & Wesson,Winchester,Remington et al?
     
  9. If Trump wins crypto degenerates will buy Bitcoin like crazy.

    If Harris wins she will continue with the genocide in Gaza and probably will add Lebanon. So you can try Lockheed Martin.
     
  10. maxinger

    maxinger

    If Trump wins, I'd trade 25 hours a day; there would be tons of trading opportunities.
     
    #10     Sep 27, 2024