Not my prediction.... 10 trillion market cap. Yep by 2030....there isn't anyone predicting anything but a straight line up non stop gain for ai ...... I hope every pension around the world is placing trillions in nvda. It's free money, in order for a 10 trillion market cap it has to climb to just above 400. ....hey with the ai hype gravy train in full force this should happen by early 2025, so this prediction is way off. And I don't know why they remove IBM and stick nvda in the dow 30. We could get to dow 100k by end of 2025. ..
Analyst Beth Kindig of I/O Fund predicted Nvidia would be a $10 trillion stock by 2030. Her thesis is driven by the company pushing technological advances and inroads into the auto sector. When modeling out Nvidia earnings, a $10 trillion market cap by 2030 is certainly possible. https://www.fool.com/investing/2024/06/08/wall-street-analyst-predict-nvidia-10-trillion-cap/
Not the way even relatively free markets function. There are already competitors for NVDA chips, and will be more. And the hype is not only in the stock price: in virtually every new, "hot" product, users -- and potential users -- overbuy. And for end-use, so far Generative AI is more of a toy. Likely in 3-5 years it will be actually a productive factor in many areas, but then, like water, electricity, cars, computers, etc., it will just become a common commodity. History has more than enough examples of super, hot, must-have products / industries, that became mundane.
2030 sounds too long a timeframe to hit a $400 target. We could see $400 within a couple of years. But back to $100 in 2030 after it crashes 75%+ from that 10T high.
Honestly it's already becoming mundane with nothing but ai talk in every nook and cranny of wallstreet.
Tonight it's up 3 adding close to another 100 billion in market cap.... This stock seems to be the biggest company the world has ever seen. And the way they are pushing future growth it sounds like it will have more market capitalization than probably msft, aapl and google combined in the next 5 years. Every few minutes i check nvda it's up higher than the minute it was before. And as long as they push nvda higher tech will continue to surge pushing the nasdaq up literally every single day. I have watched markets for a long time and have never ever seen anything like this.
This is how stock splits have always worked, retail dumb money jump into post stock split stocks thinking they are now cheap. After all $100 is much cheaper than $1000. Much easier for humans to imagine a $100 stock going to $200 than a $1000 going to $2000 because in every day life we tend value things in absolute dollars and not percentages.
Yes 100 to 200 seems much doable then 1000 to 2000 yet it's the same exact percentage.... But my next question is with outstanding shares being 10 x now ......is moving the needle that much more difficult?? For every 10 dollar move nvda is moving a quarter trillion dollar market cap, earnings really need to justify such a non stop one straight line up, growing everyday market capitalization
And let's not forget the magnitude of electricity demand this ai will take up. Should we worry about skyrocketing utility bills in the future as these ai data center infrastructures are built out. Electricity costs are already on the rise and have been for years now we will have to contend with the onslaught of thousands of data centers sucking up energy world wide.
10x shares outstanding is priced into the split. Its the new baseline. Then you only need a small increase over the baseline of more buyers over sellers most days and the price has to go up.