Lazy answer (but a sincere one): survivorship bias.
Excellent answer! I'm still trying to digest the "rescaling the forward looking return..." (Could you elaborate it, please?), but everything you...
I know it's a rhetorical question (right?), but yes I felt like a lotto winner (in the end). If I had made those $50k in my options portfolio,...
It was surreal. CL is a beast! I knew it was a directional market, but I was making money in pullback days too. My longest winning streak was 22...
90,000 US dollars! As I said, I was trading 500 contracts (I think the number is 50 actually... idk, it was almost 5 years ago) in a +$200k...
Imagine that percentage is a parameter p that you want to optimize. So you'll get some historical data and run montecarlo simulations. Letting the...
1. Derivatives and, in particular, options, have always fascinated me: modeling is mathematically interesting involves numerical estimation...
Thank you! That's what I was looking for. :D Just to be clear (because I may be misinterpreted by someone), my interest is only intellectual,...
Hello, I've traded options and futures contracts in the past as a part time job and a hobby. A long time ago I learned the basics of the...
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