I meant 50% win rate like a coin flip. Can indicators be shown to either consistently improve or worsen win rate of a strategy which should be...
So In it’s self there is no proof that indicators or chart patterns can consistently win(lose) much more(less) than 50% of the time?
As we know, technical analysis(TA) is indeed a big deal in the world of trading. In the retail world TA is used even more. I find TA interesting(I...
Wow, not bad at all. Although maybe $0.65 per contract for opening and another $0.65 for closing trade(not sure) but still not bad.Thanks, I now...
@TheDawn I think it says on TDA website $0.65 per contract, which is not bad. However, I am not sure if that $0.65 is to be multiplied by 100(i.e...
Do you know of any zero commission option broker, that allows you to place conditional option orders based on stock price movement on their...
:thumbsup: Well written. I have a much better understanding now.
I mean the scenario you describe above is not a problem for me. That is A violent vol spike followed by a violent vol crush? What I am worried...
Wow, that’s a shame. Violent could mean more and more less predictability as time goes on.
Your are correct. It should be close-open not the other way. However it still looks weird to me why trading range is not input, instead change...
Premium sellers would claim that “implied volatility(I.V) overstates realized volatility(RV) over the long term”, so the edge of selling options...
Implied volatility(I.V) is considered by some to be mean reverting and a even more predictable than an underlying’s price. However between...
@BlueWaterSailor I am back again. I was scrolling to my old threads once again to learn a new thing or so from the replies. I noticed I did not...
Lol. It’s gonna be alright :D
Thanks. It seems there is a lot of basic stuffs I need to learn about options. Because this got me thinking and confused.
Thanks. I understand how spreads reduces vega exposure, therefore reducing/eliminating IV risk. @earth_imperator Now let’s talk about keeping the...
The problem is IV surge before expiration. I am not worried for the expiration payoff graph. My question is about what happens if IV rises. Well...
This is to good to be true. If that’s the case that means that’s free money? Or am missing something. Then why do short vol firms blow up when...
Ok take a look at the pictures attached. That is an option pricing calculator. The first pic shows the amount we would be losing on an OTM put,...
A simpler way to go about this problem is to use an option backtesting software. For those who are interested in a simpler way to solve the...
Separate names with a comma.