Wow cool, we pretty much trade the same stuff except currencies
Thanks man, what products do you trade?
If you want to really get into options quickly, try Nadex (no I don't work there, I just think they're a great product)...you can trade for as...
Last trade this week... 12/4 - Long ES 2070 strike @ 10:15, Expiry 12/4 @ 4:15pm Cost: 42.25/spread (max gain 57.75) 1. Another *pretty*...
Nadex - the binaries have almost the exact same structures as options credit/debit spreads without the transaction expenses being as high.
12/4 - Long ZS (soybeans) 897 strike @ 9:56, Expiry 12/4 @ 1:30 Cost: 44.5/spread (about 1.2:1 RR) 1. ZS (soybeans) is in a very strong 15m/1h...
12/03 - Long EURUSD 1.0870 strike @ 11:02, expiry 12/03 @ 1:00pm Cost: 47.25/spread (need to be right about 50% of the time) 1. Not a macro...
12/2 - Long ES 2100 strike @ 9:55, Expiry 12/2 @ 4:15 Cost: $49/spread (so a 50/50) 1. ES has been trending up on the hourly at a steady pace,...
12/1 - Long GC 1068.5 @ 10:23, Expiry 12/1 @ 1:30 Cost: 42.5/spread, so about 1.4:1 Risk reward (need to be right about 40-45% of the time) 1....
11/30 - Long ES 2087 @ 12:36, Expiry 11/30 @ 4:15 Cost: 33.25/spread - max gain about $65 (2:1 RR) 1. This contradicts the EURUSD short trade...
11/30 - Short EURUSD 1.0580 @ 9:51, expiry 11/30 @ 3pm Cost: -51.25/spread (max gain 51.25 on 48.75 risked) 1. Contemporaneous indications show...
On Correlations: The way I see it, there are two types of movements among highly correlating (positive or negative) assets: 1. Contemporaneous -...
Pre-market ES trade long - as noted in prior posts, given my macro outlook I''m only getting long the ES these days. These have been my most solid...
09/17 - USDJPY long - USDJPY is a proxy for the ES, and when they diverge significantly, I tend to bet on their convergence. In this case, the ES...
While the above EURUSD trades are just plain standard, this gold trade today (9/18) is a bit sketchier. I like the underlying premise (described...
Hey, So yesterday (09/17) the Fed at 2pm EST announces that they won't be hiking rates in September (typical lol...). This is a BIG deal...I...
Here's a long into AUDUSD, based on momentum up after the Australian Fed announces its rate policy: 1. Australia releases a report saying it will...
Here's a USDJPY mean reversion trade, based on a divergence from the ES (ES and USDJPY are highly correlated, normally). 1. The Fed's Lockhart...
Notes on Inter-market Relationships: 1. USD/JPY and ES - Very positively correlated. USD/JPY up is a sign of risk on (Japanese investors/hedge...
An ES long trade today, similar to the last one that didn't work. Seems roughly the same, we're seeing low VIX/volatility for the day and get long...
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