It is common knowledge that most hedge funds, mutual funds, and advisors under-perform the general market. Even Warren Buffet has fallen behind!...
Getting into it.
I started trend following (deep stop orders for fairly long hold periods, no shorts) in 2015. I knew I hadn’t hit a bear market or flash crash yet...
A globalist isn't necessarily an authoritarian. Let freedom ring even across international borders! But I agree than these days the left-of-center...
FCG. It's down 95% from its high and natural gas isn't going away.
For me it's that bonds and gold can also crash, but later, less, and recovering sooner.
Hey all, thanks for your input. My method is too different for your ideas to have helped direcly, but they caused the wheels to turn in my head....
I trade (or "invest" since I hold for a couple months on average) mainly using trendlines. I like to combine that with countertrend in a shorter...
The MMT discussion is too America-centric. "American Exceptionalism." Most countries don't produce the currencies used in international trade or...
You and I had that good discussion a while back. I use 6.8 times the 14-day ATR, as being compatible with my preference to hold things about a...
You once said you use wide stop losses but this seems narrow. Have you narrowed them up?
An inverted yield curve is an indicator of coming recession, which the Fed should avert by easing money.
Another observation on how bond ETFs differ from stock ETFs is that it makes no sense to buy into an "oversold" condition because there's no herd...
I trade intermediate term in stocks and stock ETFs. To a lesser extent I also trade in bond ETFs. In order to bridge the conceptual gap I pretend...
I don't use the MA crossover. Rather I quantify trend as a slope (or regression line) and use that as one of several factors in asset selection. I...
I suppose you are in cash lately because the 20 would have crossed below the 50 a while ago and hasn't rise above it again since.
I've noticed that, unlike other ETers, you trade somewhat like I do. So I looked up threads you've posted. On this one I ask, since you are a...
Define trend and calculate your stop loss however you want. That's not the point. The question is pertinent to the overall long-term market, right...
Say I'm a long-only trend follower who stops out whenever something loses 7% from the previous high. That preserves my capital, or does it? If I...
When I started trading it was like I'd grabbed a tiger by the tail. It was all so complex and required so much research, thought, and...
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