Thanks! Do you have any thoughts on arithmetic vs. geometric means and standard deviations when computing Sharpe ratios and for position sizing?...
Would you consider doing this when computing the combined forecast i.e. making a long only rule and then including that in the portfolio of rules?
Thanks. That's much clearer now. So if I understand correctly more diversification means lower volatility, so to maintain the same level of...
I think I understand where my confusion is coming from. I've been calculating the normalized trading cost (standardized cost * turnover) for each...
From what you've written it seems like you're estimating trading costs using this approach, rather than just computing them directly. There are a...
I've been reading and coding up the framework you describe in your book. One question: when computing costs you use the volatility normalized...
With this in mind, if someone had all of their capital in a trading system, would it be worth including 'buy and hold' as one of the strategies to...
That makes a lot of sense. Thank you.
This thread is really interesting. Thank you for sharing your experience. Your book is a great read as well. One question, at what point will...
Thanks for the suggestions. I'm reading through @garachen's posts now. It's rapidly becoming apparent how much negativity there is on this forum....
I'm probably just arguing semantics but the way this is stated it seems the answer should be $0.75 for the option of rolling again. That is, you...
Yeah. Agree completely. However many people are doing this without realizing by applying a moving average to compute the trend. Whether you apply...
I never made any statement on the effectiveness of TF. You are making statements about the effectiveness of signal processing. If you're using a...
One could say the same thing about trend following. It's very unlikely that there is one thing that is the 'key' to the market, if there was it...
If you haven't come across it yet I highly recommend Technical Analysis of Stocks and Commodities magazine. It has some good trading ideas.
Thanks again for the references. This is all really interesting stuff. It looks like he stopped recommending his earlier frequency discriminators...
Thanks for the pointer. You're referring to the article in S&C November 2008 right? Looks like he's just using a spectrogram to determine the...
First of all just to clear something up. Predicting and forecasting relates to events that occur in the future. You do not predict something that...
I'm just getting started with trading so figured now is a good time to start a journal. A bit about me: I have a PhD in signal processing and...
Separate names with a comma.