Icebergs are tricky buggers. Think about it this way... If price is oscillating upward and slowing in momentum and you want to iceberg the...
Anyone analyzed the fundamentals of that company? If they happen to go under in the next couple years I may launch another social gaming...
Uncertain uncertainty creates certain certainty!!! Wall street went on a professional gambler hiring spree a few years back. A lot of pro...
I have and interesting observation and was curious if you would care to comment. I have been calculating out probabilities a lot lately and...
So, let me re-word my SPX daily analysis down to pure probabilities lingo. "The probability that the S&P 500 dips below the highs of today...
I changed my signals to dots because the way I have always been using them is as probabilities... Like during this high speed uptrend into this...
Did I claim the idea was original? No. I just realized that the difference between me and others was I was using technicals for analyzing odds...
Now, lets calculate out some quick odds on the S&P bigger picture so you guys understand why the pro's are so complacent... Lets assume that...
Here is an example of why I am not bothering to watch the S&P right now... Probability states that at our current trend speed of 15.69 and...
Probabilities are governed by more than the number of bars in a trend. They are also governed by the price cycle alignment, and the trend speed of...
Here is an example on the euro. The odds of a cycle turning on the 120m are extremely low for a reversal within 3 candles. With a lower high or...
Nobody is actually bothering to trade equities right now I hope... I'm trading the EUR/USD lately. Lots of good action there... Just sideways...
Does anyone know any good books or forums on odds and statistics? Instead of just having a feel for statistics and roughly calculating them out...
I primarily do statistical analysis of technical indicators rather than technical analysis. Mostly just calculated out in my head off indicator...
If your having trouble with short term automated system you should instead apply them to the daily/weekly OHLC data. Things are much more...
So, glancing at the current chart... What does this indicator tell us? It tells us that the current trend speed is 14 points per 10 days....
All indicators you develop should have math that is easily understandable that you can cross check to your chart to make sure everything is...
You have to use different strategies in different sessions. The market behavior in FX changes at 19:00 when NZ/AUS activity starts. Real easy...
Were very low on fuel with VIX being this low, but don't get too hasty with your shorts yet. There are a lot of hedge funds and big players not in...
Yes, I have the exact same results in equities with non-discretionary system trading... Long setups work reliably, short setups don't... The math...
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