Volatility has not been that bad over the last couple of years. But recently with indexes sitting near the top of their ranges, there isn't much...
I would agree. There are two type of probabilistic edges, one that is a 'sure thing' kind of edge, of making money over the long run. Think...
A system (lets call it system A) might average 50% a year, with a variance of 50%, so returns fall between 0% and 100% a year (with 99%...
Yes. I agree. You only know you had an edge over the back data or in the past. And you might have an edge going forward (if the market...
For something systematic to work every year it has to generate lots of trades. A low trade system will just have too much variance in returns....
I have back tested my system extensively however that is no guarantee of success going forward. If the markets are like they have been in the...
You can only show that in the back test for the system.
Traders are prisoners to market conditions, you can get years which are ok for trading and years which are excellent. In hindsight you can always...
All posts are welcome. However i have a way of trading that suits me, it may or may not make money in the long run, who knows. But im going...
I feel honoured to be in the presence of so many consistently profitable traders :D
I believe my edges (i have more than one strat) still work, i believe i was too aggressive in my risk taking with them. Will see what the future...
My 10K is probably sitting in your account then, or you spent it already, if so i hope you spent my money well, on women or booze or towards a...
I see no difference between trading on a simulator and backtesting. You can develop a system on a simulator that fails when you go live and...
I will continue to trade small as an alternative to stoping trading. I have done work that will prevent me having big losing days in the...
Thanks for the advice. Longer term trading is not my thing. Perhaps it should be but its not a way i feel comfortable trading.
Not old, only started it yesterday. Yes im in the uk. Im trading SIFs mostly.
Im trading stock index futures mainly. Started 2013 with £40000 (about $63K usd) Currently have £30430 ($48K usd) Took some big hits...
These phones prove the old saying that money doesn't buy class. The Vertu is the kind of phone you would expect Kim Kardashian to own.
"He did not stick to his own proved system. That's the trouble with most of them" -- Reminiscences of a Stock Operator. Its hard to just to...
Based on the last X price bars. I am either long, short or neutral. All i do is go long short or neutral depending on some logic i have...
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