so you dont trust the statistical evidence that supports probability? like if theoretically speaking, if you can collect at min $35 from every...
bah ignore the last few posts. i wasnt thinming properly about the calc. @ work atm.
that maybe so, but don johnson has consistently beaten casinos using his probabilities. I thinj he was a mathematician of some sort. you should...
ok so example TZA @13.50, IV=0.53 expiration 7 days, 1std: $1 debit spread sell 13.0 call - 1.64 buy 12.50 call - 1.99 est probability success...
do you have any suggestions on what i can do to make this work? or what you would do? when you say expectations are you referring to market...
yeah but you can pick your probabilities, thats your edge no? for example, if you bought a debit spread with a 40% of success with a 1:1 pay out...
have you considered this before? on credit spreads, reduce your odds of success for a higher payout? with 40/60 odds you need at least 0.75 -1...
If Don johnson can make millions off playing a card game with odds stacked against him, cant we do the same trading options? Hey uses...
from what i know they are last sales. right side is puts and left side is calls. far lefts column on respective sides are last sale. last 2-3...
wondering if I'm blind or is this trade too good to be true. TZA @13.60 current price Nov 28 13.50 CALL 1.15 Nov 28 13.50 PUT 0.4 This looks...
hey Dan, not sure if you'll respond to this, but I'm wondering if I'm blind or is this trade too good to be true. TZA @13.60 current price Nov 28...
past below your upper strike and through your lower strike or somewhere between.
why do you mention six figures?
@49, your call option expires worthless or you can sell it back at w.e the market rate for that contract is at expiration.
It depends. if its american or euro and the benefit depends what you spent on the contract. american: exercise contract any time. euro: exercise...
Hey, just want some opinions on turning around a bull put position where the underlying has passed your upper strike. If my intention is to own...
yup i feel the same way. good luck with your trading.
thanks for the recommendation.
i dont disagree and im also reading threads still. everyday is something new to read. do you have any recommended threads?
if you are a newbie, of course youll ask newbie questions.... tim sykes does it right (at least what he promotes himself as) some guys online...
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