As others have noted, timeframe becomes a serious question in regards to this testing. I've been given the impression that academic testing in the...
This may be picky, but to make sure we use the terms and figures correctly since they have been used incorrectly a couple of times in this thread...
Bush is by no means the only one. The first couple of years Clinton was in office he would make statements and the market would tank. At some...
You might be right about the bottom not being in, though that could depend on in what way you mean that. Prices? Sales? Construction? As for...
That's happening now. They can now go out an pick up property at lower prices. The mortgage terms may not be as favorable, but that's a good thing.
It might not be a total fix, but it's enough of one to help turn the psychology of the system, and that's really want needs fixing.
Agreed.
I've taken a specific look at volatility in a different fashion - using a normalized version of the Average True Range indicator. ATR simply is a...
How would you define this average noise range?
While I haven't done doctoral level work, I do have a strong academic background in finance. The EMT was something I rejected very early on...
Tell that to the folks who had "portfolio insurance" during the '87 crash. As the market declined they had to sell more index futures, which...
Actually, to get technical, what you are referring to in the farmer case (which is hedging, by the way) is forwards, not futures. Futures are just...
Futures (and options) were created as a hedging vehicle. Speculation is just an ancillary use.
If you read most job postings where a CFA is mentioned as a requirement or a desired designation you will find that they generally say CFA or MBA.
Personally, my risk size depends a lot on the timeframe of the trade I'm doing. I'll take more risk on a longer-term position trade because they...
The stock market doesn't really seem to be caring too much about what's going on in the credit market, which to me makes sense. Stock investors...
It means that the stock is more volatile than the overall market. For example, if a stock had a beta of 2, it would tend to move twice as much...
Exactly! It doesn't do jack. It's fear which has everyone piling in to Bills. A rate cut isn't going to solve that. There's only two things...
Yeah, I caught that. The market, though, focused on what appeared to be a shift toward worry about the economy vs. worry about inflation. Not...
As soon as Cramer said all his contacts were getting caught short I said to the guys around me I'm fading Cramer. It takes real buying to create...
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