I think what Tsk is saying is that in the event where you need to close it fast (i.e., because it spikes, and your other positions went against...
Actually, I think that by and large agriculture-related government data releases primarily act to limit opportunities in the markets by...
That is basically the stuff I look at now... though not every single opportunity since I have a full-time non-trading job. One other thing I would...
That's certainly a possibility. One problem with the agricultural stuff is that government interference makes stuff really hard to predict.. talk...
I didn't mean to give you the wrong impression - I am definitely not sitting on a pile of money. Mostly I am just super aggressive with putting...
It's rough for retail. With my small account, I basically feel like I can only make delta bets. Problem is, I feel like I have a much better...
Funny you mention newly rich farmers. There are definitely those, but there are also a lot of highly leveraged folks entering the farm business...
Makes sense. Demand for meat, meat-related and dairy in China is huge and growing as incomes increase. I brought up cotton because they have a...
I wonder which commodities. The chinese government has been wreaking havoc on cotton for quite a few years. Anyone long cotton would do well to...
I imagine both are rather capital intensive as well, at least relative to most smaller retail traders. It seems to me that unless you arrange an...
Path dependence at its finest! :cool:
Martin - If I may ask, how did you end up in the world of interest rates? I am always interested in how people came to be drawn to certain...
I think FX's point about buying these rather than selling has to do with the variance of returns. You can't really call it 8% return if you stand...
That's really interesting. Not quite the same thing, but are you familiar with GNI? That one is a high-dividend trust that is guaranteed to go to...
Isn't this also kind of the same point you are making in recent posts about regulatory arb and selling naked index crash risk? I think it's...
Martinghoul - can you elaborate? You mean scenario analysis like volatility cones? ...or just many repeated simulations with tons of different...
I don't see what's wrong with people trying to make money. Some of us also just enjoy mathematics for their own sake. :p That said, one doesn't...
This thread is intended to be a serious version of http://elitetrader.com/vb/showthread.php?t=227873 without the flame war. So I think we all...
Not exactly, though it's probably better to treat it this way if you don't know what you are doing. In fact, probably best not to sell puts in...
Sure. You could do it with as little as 5K with OH. You just have to sign up for a margin account and convince them you have sufficient assets and...
Separate names with a comma.