Now we really attracted a looney toon.
I would think that' target,stop' is clearer English rather than 'amount' which is like no. of win, losses.
No, thats why probability is a real assumption, I am pretty sure you said "amount" of gain/loss, not "with different assumptions".
He said "amount of win, losses" not target and stop.
P(win) is an assumption, not past statistics no. of win/losses, if you cannot even differentiate that, you are the one with zero clue...
That is unknown(until it becomes historical/statistics)... sounds like expectancy component crap.
Please elaborate mathematically with examples.
For this simplified model, we can try to apply that to trading... If p(win)=0.99 and q(loss)=0.01, and each trade is independent for a fixed bet,...
Sounds like a good trade, but if you short sell IBKR or sold calls using IB itself, could you claim your profits?:)
http://www.physicsforums.com/showthread.php?t=542040&page=2 Someone mentioned the moment the Markov chain has its first stopped out 'loss', ruin...
I found trading like a musical chair game just between the few of us in this thread:p
Maybe what you seek is here. http://www.physicsforums.com/showthread.php?t=542040 But the house will always say "In a very large sample size,...
Can I prove a simple MA is a total ruin system? This has baffled traders for eons.:confused: Actually I wondered, if I have many MAs simultaneous...
Because its your money, probably other fun stuff too:p There goes your precious track record and all the years of "hard" work. Say you...
A simple MA entry and exit which has no target quit time or target profit also leads to total ruin.:p
All the more it seems like saying expectancy is a form of measurement of fallacy... "I guessed 10 out of 15 times correctly, therefore I can...
I trade because I am a lazy person.
I bought lottery tickets consistently $50 a month for 6 years. I won 1.5 Mil last month. I would consider my % return track record quite good but...
This shipping blunder started about 3 months ago, when was your latest order?
http://www.amazon.com/forum/frustration-free%20packaging/ref=cm_cd_pg_pg6?_encoding=UTF8&cdForum=Fx8V4IBTJZBS33&cdPage=6&cdSort=oldest&cdThread=Tx3...
Separate names with a comma.