Not necessarily. We have the biggest number of earnings releases during the first month of each cycle, but it doesn't mean rest of the time...
Yes. I had an article on Seeking Alpha a while ago: How To Rent Your Options For Free The key is to identify stocks where straddles keep value...
My approach of buying straddles before earnings has very low risk. Average loser is around 10% and it is very rare to lose more than 15-20%...
Well, in May 2017 cycle it opened ~11% down and went to -15% pretty quickly. IV doesn't come down completely till 15-30 minutes from the open, and...
And if it gaps 15%+ and stays there the whole day? How does IV collapse helps you in this case?
In most cases maybe, but one huge move can erase months of gains. But I'm not talking about holding through earnings. The post earnings history...
Things are related. In your example, you won't find a straddle pricing 6% move with ambient vol of 50%. It just won't happen. This is why for me,...
Let me make it simple for you: The straddle price right now implies 10% move. Here is the history of the last 5 cycles moves: [ATTACH] As you...
Yes, there is an edge - if you get it right. Here is one example: How We Made 62% On CF Industries In 2 Days (this one we played with calendar,...
CML Trade machine has been an extremely valuable tool for our members. This is the latest PYPL trade we did using it: How To Profit From PayPal...
Your math is correct up to $7519/year. That's 75% return on 10k account. The second part is not correct because not all trades are open at the...
Risk free? Still believe in fairy tales?
Actually we do ZERO marketing and advertising or affiliate marketing. With good marketing and advertising, we would probably have 10 times more...
Secret sauce and edge are not the same. Secret sauce is what you mentioned - some vague black box software or "proprietary strategies" that...
Nobody is going to give you their secret sauce because there is NO secret sauce. There are NO secret strategies. It's just hard work, a lot of...
@Johnmaine All our trades are listed on the performance page going back to 2011, winners and losers. Our performance is based on real fills, not...
No actually I'm done here. When someone quotes my articles and takes them completely out of context, something tells me he is not interested in...
And how exactly this is different from what I said? Of course there is a normal IV and IV associated with earnings. And yes, IV increases as we...
I understand perfectly well why IV increase is happening. People are bidding the options prices higher due to upcoming earnings, in hope that post...
What do you mean? Are you disputing the fact that for 95% of the stocks, IV increases as we approach earnings?
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