Sorry, on vacation so not posting much, just to explain this and gaps you see in the coming weeks. Not going to be back to full time til June....
Entirely unsolicited opinion, I know, but FWIW (free advice & worth every penny) I'm selling 1635/1630 verticals next week if I can get a decent...
Thanks for the info. Still looking at everything. USGS published just a few days ago a reassessment of Bakken that upped their estimates by two...
As I noted above, trying to find every last source of info I can on this sector. Just the other day I ran across The Oil Drum, a forum for energy...
Idea I think is to use VXX options instead. VXX/XIV: VXX has the options. VXZ/ZIV: VXZ has the options.
Yeah, I've been doing that. Haven't done anything yet. Saw the drop on Wednesday, then noted how on Thursday it barely reacted to the fall in nat...
First article above says Libya produces 1.6 million barrels/day. That's a lot. Understandably some may have gotten knocked out by the conflict,...
I don't see how Syria affects anything. Not a major oil producer. Unless this turns into a wider conflict (Assad's Iraq and Iran allies), I'm not...
Yeah I did forget to check the curve. Thanks for that.
Fundamentals + probabilities. Assume over the longer term the fundies win out, in the shorter term it's all random. Via options you choose two...
I'll have to look at that in detail. Thanks.
OK, so should I wait til Memorial Day, or hold out until after Labor Day?
Yeah but have things gotten more dangerous in the past few years? Middle East has always been there as a risk.
Reasons to short: 1 - Supply: a) Is this a great country or what?? This EIA site has a graph where you can run some analysis tools, among...
Some hedging naturally going on, as there's a Fed statement coming Wednesday and the employment report's on Friday. So IV on the S&P will...
P/L before commish, no doubt.
Seriously speaking, this isn't the first time the right has used crap. Try reproducing Friedman's NAIRU. Can't be done. I tried, and in...
Lame: We regret the systems outage that delayed todayâs opening of CBOE. We have isolated the software issue that caused the problem and...
Everything's working. Good thing not much was going on today re VIX. SPX was more annoying, but fortunately I was well hedged there. Still, this...
Me too. Imagine if this were monthly expiration day for VIX or SPX. These guys are beyond belief.
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