http://news.google.com/news/search?q=oil+futures+spread Traders Jump on Oil Benchmark Spread Oil traders are finding new opportunities in a...
The Fushigi magic gravity ball will read everyone's minds and predict the future!! :D
I don't personally use GARCH but I've seen papers using GARCH for index funds. I imagine it would work for relatively stable investments like...
Risk can be modeled using GARCH (generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity). Risk = future variance = future volatility. You can...
The markets contain a random component. Markets can be modeled as trend plus noise, where the noise is random. Whether or not you can use the...
I'm not an expert but something like wavelet scaling or wavelet multi-scale decomposition might be what you're looking for....
Common indicators? For sentiment indicators I've seen volatility (VIX) and put-call ratio discussed. A bit of googling reveals the CFTC COT...
Are any of these considered "standard"? What do the big boys use? I'd be most interested in future economic/statistics projections. Something like...
If your drawdown is more than your max drawdown in backtesting, stop trading. If not, keep trading. It's that simple.
Momentum strategy = growth stocks in a bull market. Rough measure of bull market = Dow 50DMA > 200DMA and only pulled back 25-30% below last peak...
- What do you mean by markets? Returns? Trends? Prices? Volatilities? - It has been argued that returns are a Pareto (power) distribution. -...
Institutional trading was at one time somewhat correlated to amount of smaller and larger orders (blocks), with middle-sized orders not...
Here's an image from dailyfx.com via Yahoo image search showing forex correlations. It looks like the CRB index has the highest correlation?...
http://images.google.com/images?q=correlation+oil
R Journal http://journal.r-project.org/ Also note the Netflix Prize 2 was cancelled due to privacy concerns...
IMHO only some news events matter. Earnings announcement/pre-announcement. Fed rate change. Etc. Also for "significant" news events you could...
Hi all, What journals / conferences / other sources of information do you use to discover new / innovative techniques for risk management /...
Try this book "Trading Regime Analysis": http://www.amazon.com/Trading-Regime-Analysis-Probability-Volatility/dp/0470987855 For more...
FFT/harmonics will rarely work. An example of where it will work is prices for heating oil... there should be strong seasonality every year....
Worse than expected? The loss was narrower than expected. http://www.reuters.com/article/idCAN2320601620100223?rpc=44
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