YOU do NOT understand the formula for expectancy ,... Expectancy = (%winning trades * Average win) - (%losing trades * average loss) In...
I trend follow as well and my win rate is 60-70%. It just depends on which trend you are following...micro trend, short term , intermeditae,...
90 % system at 1 % risk
Ok so now lets look at the SAME systems with a 1% risk of capital per trade. Again lets assume a $100,000 starting capital. Again 200 trades...
90% system at 0.1% risk.
OK,...here is a MC Sim for 2 different systems. BOTH systems will have a 0.4R Expectancy and assume a starting capital of $100,000. The first...
I do NOT scalp or day trade. I swing trade and it IS very relevant!! I will post up MC Sim of trades soon for you to see what I mean. These...
The fact that you are risking ONLY 0.1% of your acct on this terrible a win rate means that you will have low risk of ruin....THAT is your money...
It absolutely is relavant!!! It is MUCH harder to face ruin with 90% win rate than 10%. It all factors together is my point. All of these...
LOL,...I know you and I have different objectives but you must learn to be happy with making money and as you seem to say GOOD money. NO ONE is...
Awesome!!:)
WHY?....a win rate of less than 10% is highly probably NOT a profitable system. This is 5x WORSE than a coin flip. You could flip a coin to tell...
Follow my suggestions and you will become profitable. I have nothing to gain by giving you bad advice so understand that these are ALL thing I...
I would partly agree and partly disagree. Win rate is directly proportional to your drawdown rate. The lower probability trade you have the...
It seems that we are debating what "edge" is defined as and I think the OP just wants to know how long did it take to become profitable....
As a matter of fact I did short prior to 9-22-11, but because of my TA indicators. :) I still do not see how this is a "no risk trade"....
I use TA about 95% and other factors 5% for my trading style and I find it very useful. No I am not failing at trading either. It is not for...
OK,...please help me understand where you would have sold on this day given that the market opened up down big and remained down big all day....
I already explained it in the other thread by the same OP with the same topic. Basically you figure your % risk you want to accept per trade. In...
First off,...I don't know who you are referring to as "you losers" because I am certainly NOT a losing trader. Second, if you think there is no...
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