But is the true efficient price ever knowable? Perhaps it's like the antiques market where the true price is only what someone is willing to pay...
Taleb agrees with this. He believes one should take no risk, and at the same time take tremendous risk. In other words, have most of your money in...
I take that to mean that if you know all the probabilities, they will sum to 1. The problem is that most of the time, all the probabilities aren't...
"Uncertain fortune is thoroughly mastered by the equity of the calculation." - Blaise Pascal What the hell did he mean? That if you have a...
If indicator performance is random, then so will be returns generated by that indicator. Random returns could give you a net positive P/L curve or...
The problem with this is that the timing of when markets change from trending to non-trending and vice versa is random. The market has been...
Imagine that, cause and effect at earnings anouncements seem to be random. Eugene Fama and Burton Malkiel are smiling about now.
Doesn't one need to determine the maximal Lyapunov exponent so that they can determine the cycle period? For example if you are using daily...
What is your basis on the underlying? Perhaps take your profit on the 35 strike and sell the 40 strike.
Even if you get the IV prediction right over the weekend, if you get the direction of the underlying wrong, you're probably not going to make any...
Effectively it's not the same because liquidity and slippage is different with the equity position of the CC than the pure option position of the...
That makes the axis a standard deviation of the relative ATM strike instead of a percentage. What new insight is supposed to be gained from it?
The smile structure through time has a shape similar to this graph:
So what is the "Hidden Reality" about options? That it is difficult to make money with them if you don't get the direction of the underlying...
Didn't you watch the Cramer video? Not only are they trying to flush out the thousands of retail traders, they're also trying to flush out other...
You can't go through life losing sleep because you can't disprove that there are no suitcases orbiting Saturn. Likewise, I don't think a person...
Notice the article said nurses dropped off the list. It's all about supply and demand. When the supply of qualified workers falls, employers will...
Of course predicting tops and bottoms can't be done consistently by anyone, and therefore the need for "complicated" strategies. BTW: Here is...
I actually think that manipulating the market by using the market itself (e.g. trying to move the futures premarket) is legal, ethical, and good...
There is likely a carrying cost in the form of property taxes asscociated with the lots however. Do away with the tax and it might be feasible to...
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