My discussion is based on annualized % return at year end. Yours is based on ROI. My discussion is also based on reality, vs theory. Your...
Sorry to say, but the only thing more meaningless than your 6.5 month "generic" statistical calculations, are your 6.5 month "assumptions", which...
There are 2 problems with your spread assumptions and presentation: Your probability calculation, your expectation calculation, and your % return...
<<< When I look at the notional/cash secured value of these put transactions, I'm tying up a lot of money for 10-18% and some of it's in trades I...
The fact that we both made the same investment, indicates at least one of us has a "great mind",.... with the other simply "thinking a-like." I...
Sold puts on $17.25 IPI for June. Credit $0.60 Annualized % return.... 12% The 5 year chart below shows strong tech support in the $19 - $21...
In theory, weeklies are a better deal. In reality, monthly are a better deal. Why? Two reasons. There may be too much down time "between"...
<<< So what happens to CRUS would seem to really be a question of what happens to Apple. >>> Hence the reason for my $18 strike, with a 19% otm...
I don't think a stock with earnings, no debt, and real products, should be considered a "falling knife". Those who bought the stock considerably...
Sold puts on $18 CRUS for April. Credit $0.30 Annualized % return..... 13 - 14% otm cushion.... 19%...
I suggest reading a book about market psychology. It's amazing that traders here, and around the world, don't think any differently today, than...
When you see the market trading at an all time high, when it probably should be trading closer to it's lows,..... this is why I ignore option...
Today I closed this this $10 ARO trade for $0.10. Thus keeping 75% of the credit, while closing the trade 6 weeks early.
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Yet another perfect statement. Trading options. from my perspective, is all about being able to evaluate "probabilities". Not from a formula...
<<< "to a man with only a hammer... everything looks like a nail" >>> For a man with no ability to manage their deteriorating leveraged...
Sold puts on $18 TIBX for May. Credit $0.60 Annualized % return......16% otm cushion... 16%...
Only if you are good at "price selection", and actually manage a spreads highly leveraged risk. Otherwise, their only value is in emptying out...
FINALLY...... a trading statement I can agree with. No matter what the strategy, it always boils down to picking the right strikes at the right...
I didn't do a full analysis on TWI, but most of it. Still too far away from trading at my desired price, and potential strike, to spend time...
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