Have you thought of the possibility that some real traders have their assistant to post here so you hypothesis may be totally wrong and cannot be...
Because all the losers are looking for high probability trades and get killed. Success rate can be very low but overall profitability depends...
The FED has never raised rates because of currency exchange rate considerations alone. Ron
If you think those numbers (P = 0.8, R = 1) are unrealistic you have been missing a lot. These are my actual numbers based on real trading for the...
I think you have been missing the essence of things. Americans need lower $ to keep their export industry alive given the high trade deficit....
I see often references in books and websites to the Kelly formula as a revelation regarding optimal risk. Recall that the formula is :...
"Never sell a dull market" Ron
My response to those claims: http://www.elitetrader.com/vb/showthread.php?s=&postid=1525791#post1525791 Ron
24/09/1994 - close to the time a faster SMA (like a 20 -30 SMA) crossed the 200 SMA to the upside 30/10/2000 - this is close to the time the...
According to that page if the probability of win is 80% and your Win/Loss ratio is equal to 1 then you should use 80% of your capital for optimal...
Now, a post that makes sense. Bravo! Ron
Thanks maxpi but I think Crabel's book are outdated material given that he talks about point targets of 2.5 points in S&P when that index was in...
Thanks Jimmy, I have the article but no details are given in it about an algorithm for calculating the p-Indicator. Ron
Is anyone here familiar with the p-Indicator developed by Michael Harris? Is there an algorithm available? Although the formula used to...
You may be right but the discipline to execute even a simple plan may not be there. Your mistake is that you consider only the method but not...
Not quite so... You can adjust any game using proper variables so that it becomes a zero sum game. Also, you can adjust it so it becomes negative...
You are so correct. This is exactly what happened. Actually, in the news article there is a hidden contradiction. First it claims brokers make...
Refusing a contention is not a straw man argument. Why don't you open a book on logic to read what a straw man is.? It is exactly what the author...
Why do you think money should be backed by gold? More importantly, why do you think a financial system where money is backed by gold is a better...
Get ready for higher volatility and possibly a plunge. SEC has a short memory I think. Remember Oct. '87? The market is so nervous that any more...
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