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  1. Probability of Next Trade

    I don't know, but I think that sounds right. For 2), you can get some new info from past trade outcomes (or some other stream of data knowable in...
    Post by: zedDoubleNaught, May 24, 2011 in forum: Strategy Building

  2. Probability of Next Trade

    How about this: since I control my trades, they can be independent or not independent, from how I make my system, it's my choice. More important...
    Post by: zedDoubleNaught, May 23, 2011 in forum: Strategy Building

  3. Probability of Next Trade

    Thank you MAESTRO for the encouraging comment, and engaging this discussion. Also, I've wanted to thank you for your comments on this thread: can...
    Post by: zedDoubleNaught, May 23, 2011 in forum: Strategy Building

  4. Probability of Next Trade

    Let's see, maybe this is on the right track: reading that pdf on Requisite Variety, we'd want to reduce the number of possible outcomes. The...
    Post by: zedDoubleNaught, May 23, 2011 in forum: Strategy Building

  5. Probability of Next Trade

    If anyone else is following along, I've found these 2 links: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Variety_%28cybernetics%29...
    Post by: zedDoubleNaught, May 22, 2011 in forum: Strategy Building

  6. Probability of Next Trade

    I'm having a bit of trouble because Bayes theorem is based on conditional probability, but we haven't established or assumed any reason to think...
    Post by: zedDoubleNaught, May 22, 2011 in forum: Strategy Building

  7. Probability of Next Trade

    Would you mean, implementing it by skipping some of the system's trades, or reversing the direction of some of the trades?
    Post by: zedDoubleNaught, May 22, 2011 in forum: Strategy Building

  8. Probability of Next Trade

    ..
    Post by: zedDoubleNaught, May 22, 2011 in forum: Strategy Building

  9. Probability of Next Trade

    Hmmm, I had a couple of questions -- Is it necessary, to apply Bayes theorem, to assume that the OP's 65% winning rate has wins randomly...
    Post by: zedDoubleNaught, May 22, 2011 in forum: Strategy Building

  10. correlation measure of 2 tables

    Thanks -- that should give me a number sufficient for what I'm looking for, and especially great it's just just one command.
    Post by: zedDoubleNaught, May 21, 2011 in forum: Technical Analysis

  11. correlation measure of 2 tables

    Another idea I had -- I have QT Octave, perhaps I could make 3-D mesh plots of the 2 tables, then see how much the match / differ. Is there a 3-D...
    Post by: zedDoubleNaught, May 21, 2011 in forum: Technical Analysis

  12. correlation measure of 2 tables

    Is there a correlation measure for two tables of data? My 2 tables are stop x limit, with data from 2 separate procedures. I would like to find...
    Thread by: zedDoubleNaught, May 21, 2011, 4 replies, in forum: Technical Analysis

  13. Gifted and Talented Traders

    Hello NoDoji, thank you for the detailed response. It sounds like a big part of the gift and talent is also recognizing the environment or...
    Post by: zedDoubleNaught, May 20, 2011 in forum: Psychology

  14. Gifted and Talented Traders

    Hi Mark, Thanks for the response, I had a vague type of impression or guess there may have been a difference. This helps put the concept into...
    Post by: zedDoubleNaught, May 20, 2011 in forum: Psychology

  15. Gifted and Talented Traders

    Hi NoDoji, I am interested in your posts as they note "high probability setups". Honest question: how do you generate an estimate of the...
    Post by: zedDoubleNaught, May 19, 2011 in forum: Psychology

  16. Dow Top Call - 11yr formation - part 2

    In this gold chart, how do you distinguish if this is a resistance line in a triangle about to break to upside, or if it is forming a down...
    Post by: zedDoubleNaught, May 18, 2011 in forum: Trading

  17. Recently gone automated, what to do?

    I've heard of them, sounds like you have positive feedback on them. The course on chaos looks good, only $70. Other than that, I've found a text...
    Post by: zedDoubleNaught, May 16, 2011 in forum: Psychology

  18. Recently gone automated, what to do?

    I like to get textbooks online and study things I never took a course in. including taking notes and doing the exercises on a lot of scrap paper....
    Post by: zedDoubleNaught, May 13, 2011 in forum: Psychology

  19. Dow Top Call - 11yr formation - part 2

    ....
    Post by: zedDoubleNaught, May 13, 2011 in forum: Trading

  20. mark brown said he found the holy grail.

    Hello MarkBrown, thank you for the responses and examples. I am grateful to hear a new way of doing things or new method. In return, I'd like to...
    Post by: zedDoubleNaught, May 5, 2011 in forum: Trading
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