Week 14 TF: 3 wins, 2 moved stops (special note) Corn 1: 2 wins, 1 full loss Corn 2: 2 moved stops for break even Soy: 1 win, 2 full losses...
Week 13 TF: 2 wins, 1 moved stops Corn 1: 1 win, 1 full loss Corn 2: 1 moved stop for a loss HSI: 1 win, 1 moved stop, 2 full losses DAX: 3...
Curve fitting is when you over-optimize the input parameters of a trading strategy to the point where you maximize profits, but the actual results...
So if it's always long or short, how do you always guarantee a fill? Isn't there the possibility that your strategy goes from short to long,...
Actually, I do think you're right about this, and in fact, I'm going to do what you suggest and just trade less size with respect to my own...
Yes, I'm well aware of the "casino vs gambler" perspective :) I've been struggling with this particular problem myself, because I force myself to...
I think you'll find that backtesting vs autotrading with real money is going to be vastly different. As someone else mentioned, commissions and...
Did you ever calculate your correlation coefficient for your trades? :) I've been thinking about doing an analysis where if I have a bigger...
Yes, I'm finding that volatility has been drained from the TF, but I'm seeing the same behavior across all the index futures that I trade. The...
As a matter of posterity, here's the theoretical results for the TF strategy for the YTD. The first table is my original setup, using the...
Week 12 TF: 4 wins, 1 moved stops Corn 1: 1 win, 2 full losses, 2 moved stop for a win Corn 2: 1 wins, 1 full loss, 1 moved stop for a gain,...
Based on my initial backtests in 2009, the TF, DAX and HSI were markets that I could trade in profitably. My initial goal was to trade once a day...
Week 11 TF: 2 wins, 2 losses, 1 moved stops, 1 win and 2 losses on discretionary trade Corn 1: 3 wins, 1 moved stop for a win Corn 2: 3 wins,...
Hmm, I would say that the value of 0.15 might be pretty close. You do seem pretty uncorrelated to the S&P which is a good thing :)
I would calculate the % based on the previous day's capital. The reason is that you want to know on any particular day, if you were to take the...
Actually 0 means not correlated at all, -1 means 100% inversely correlated, so 0.14 is actually great! Just out of curiosity, the chart looks...
Can you get a daily % gain/loss for your system vs the daily % gain/loss of the SPY and then run a correlation calculation on the two? It should...
You should probably invest some time and learn how to maintain your own computer. As someone else said, you should learn how to make your own...
Thanks for your comment. Yes, it's in the front of my mind these past few weeks, and something I need to really consider whether or not my setups...
Week 10 TF: 1 wins, 1 losses, 3 moved stops, 1 win on discretionary trade Corn 1: 2 moved stops, 4 full losses Corn 2: 1 full win, 1 full...
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