I am aware that predictions don't have to be definitive, hence why I made my statement conditional ('IF you define prediction as...). You are...
So you are claiming that, in future, the market will trend enough to make trend following profitable. That is a statement about how the future...
But each trade is made in the expectation that this type of trade will be profitable if made enough times over the long run. That is a prediction...
If you don't anticipate which way it goes, then your position would be flat. The only reason to take on market risk is to seek profit. If you...
It depends entirely how you define 'prediction'. If you define prediction as an expectation about how the future is likely to turn out (e.g. 'I am...
What about labelling people by their nationality? :D :D
Sure - the Greek stock market is back where it was in early 2012, but the situation is far less critical and bad than it was then. The long-term...
So as promised I will update the details of my gold exit. I covered my short futures at 1205, and liquidated my options at various prices around...
Isn't National Savings and Investments in the UK a full reserve bank? And a large t-bills fund that offered money transactions services would be...
Wait - why is efficiency important? I didn't offer to pay for someone else's idea of efficiency. Why is the state allowing the banking system to...
Leverage. When was the last time a full reserve bank went broke?
What about the gross incompetence of the people in society who either voted for these politicians, or didn't do anything about if beforehand, or...
Welcome to politics, kiddo!
There is not even any such thing as 'properly priced' on a value basis, even if the future is perfectly knowable, because people have different...
The reason insurance companies are not bailed out (much) and banks are, is simple - when banks get wiped out people lose their life savings, then...
Normal ones - Talisker, Laphroaig.
I don't think it's 'the bottom' either, otherwise I would have on a big long position. But I do think the recent 'easy money' downtrend is likely...
Set up up a foreign corporation and trade through that. Problem solved.
Just exited my gold shorts. I hereby claim my first scalp - Mr John Paulson! More updates to come, I'm kinda busy trading this shit.
Just covered my shorts FWIW. If you are bullish then now may be a good buy point for a quick trade.
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