A trade that with risk reward of 4-1 usually has less than 50% probability(in a efficient market its probability of working would be 20%), so...
Its not easy to manipulate the equilibrium price of liquid markets, look how the fed's efforts to drive treasuries higher endup, as soon as the...
The government needs to consider stock buying as part of retail sales, it would solve this problem pretty quick
its the Peter Schiff school of economics, if it isn't hard and solid its not good for the economy. The US economy will be 'phony' to them until NY...
I'm not sure thats clear at all. If you look back at government spending it does correlate to CPI. One of the few people who claims deficits fuel...
Bernanke would say he got lucky and he is no evidence individuals can beat the market
nitro, I'm not sure this is correct. a positive expectancy bet with an percentage edge of 5%(say a coin with 52.5% chance of landing tails) could...
I bet IB's CS will be hearing all day from ET guys yelling about how they are idiots and havent filled their one lot orders yet. 'jennifer, never...
Roserberg is looking at a 40-50% figure. I suppose some of the difference comes from my 2009 number, I assumed $60 for 2009(Although I dont claim...
I believe it would help in the long-run(at least history suggests that), but in the short-run who knows, the Dow could drop 2k on worries about...
Here's the thing I'm mainly concerned about what will happen, I dont spend much time think about what should happen. What should happen is...
Heres an argument against you theory of fed hikes in the next 6 months. The fed already publicly commited to keep open their liquidity facilities...
To show some degree of irrationality currently priced in the financial markets, take a look at the Feb ZQ(fed funds futures) contract, it closed...
How do you know rogers trade successfuly?Ever since he left quantum there is simply NO record of his performance. He is the biggest commodity bull...
What about asking the source that gave you this information
There is also a feedback loop that I'm not seeing people talk about. Companies are beating earnings estimates but missing revenues estimates...
With regards to positive feedback loops(self-fulfilling prophecies or 'reflexive' situations), yes the market can create its own reality and the...
I'm back from vacation and I see the SP500 reached 980. Somewhat surprising but I also see the S&P website shows that so far Q2 is on track to...
You need to go further out in the IR risk curve and chase yield in treasury bonds(not tbills). Maturity is key, anything more than 10y is probably...
The administration deserves credit for being able to pass the largest fiscal package in the US peace time history right after a terrible polical...
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