OMG you can't seriously not see the flaw in your logic?? You are giving a perfect example of the traders fallacy. Which has a greater probability...
You guys are really struggling with this concept. You are confusing P/L math with price action. If a stock drops from $10 to $5 then it needs to...
No. They are implying that it will be harder for the stock to recover because it has to recover 100% which is the fallacy. Read it again. ""A...
Sentiment encompasses all external factors. Mathematically it would be in a perpetual downtrend. :)
Agreed. Down 50 ticks. Up 50 ticks. No difference.
It's called the traders fallacy not mathematical fallacy. When I use the term mathematical fallacy I am using it as reference to the traders...
What are you talking about? Sentiment is what affects price action . If the "simple math" actually affected price action then the market would be...
All I'm saying is if after a 50% draw down, your only reasoning to sell your position is because you believe that the math is against the stock...
Yes but my point is that even though a stock drops from 100 to 95 (5%) and it takes 5.62% to return to 100 does not mean that the stock is at some...
Yes, but you are talking about sentiment, and basing a trading decision on that, not on the fallacy that it will somehow be harder for the stock...
Let me try an analogy to help you guys out. If you were 400lbs and lost 200lbs...that's a 50% drop. If we apply the math from the traders fallacy,...
Wow the level of ignorance around here is both astounding and reassuring that there are still plenty of traders willing to part with their shares...
That's my whole point. The "headwind" can only be the actual sentiment of the market...so any investment decision should be based on that...NOT on...
Explain to me how a trading range happens then? According to you a trading range is a statistical impossibility yet they a benchmark of TA. If...
It's true you can be too smart to make money in stocks...ie accountants who get fixated on return of capital etc...but this isn't being too...
You guys seriously can't be this dense? Price moves in increments of money, not in increments of "how much percent does this need to increase to...
Yes but the "math" doesn't apply. If it did you would NEVER get a trading range, and trading ranges are the most common trading phenonium along...
No it doesn't. It's the same thing...portfolio goes down...portfolio goes up. The market probably wants you to think this so you all let go of...
https://www.investopedia.com/investing/selling-a-losing-stock/ "A stock that declines 50% must increase 100% to return to its original amount....
I don't blame you...with me you're either getting a Lamborghini or you're going bust. I wouldn't have it any other way. :)
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