Ha, I did not know that! I thought it was just S/N and if S is zero, the whole thing is zero.
They will let the currency collapse, EM CB banks always do. Also, along the usual EM lines, they will probably rescue some companies (banks, other...
The CDS does not seem to be pricing that in (5 year is still under 500 and, if anything, is tighter from the start of the festivities). PS. All...
"Sad" https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2019-04-05/trump-says-fed-should-cut-rates-and-stop-shrinking-balance-sheet
The main problem is that Fed appointees are long-term, similar to the Supreme Court. I sure hope the Senate does not approve, but that would open...
Well, someone was buying from the end of December until now 'cause the market is up. If the smart money indicator is right (I have my doubts) it...
As an aside, there are a lot of things happening around the Fed that are very worrisome. My primary concern is the attack on the independence of...
We are not here to help each other. This forum is mostly low value banter, bragging and posturing, with some rare exceptions. I am here because of...
I think, personally, that short rate expectations get fuzzy past 2 years or so and most of the curve is shaped by the risk preferences. This...
"Well, in summer there’s fishing and shagging. And in winter the fishing is bad."
I think we might be using different definitions of "term premium", you are probably thinking about some output of a term structure model. My view...
Well, in fairness, it certainly could happen here as well. Some people think that Japan is a bit ahead of the curve as the modern economies go (in...
wassup
It's very unlikely that the whole market cap has been supported by insiders since the very beginning. There are obvious pockets of manipulation on...
Smart money has a much shorter time horizon. From his perspective, adding a few hundred dollars to the market every month and holding for 30...
He should do both. In fact, an early start on retirement savings is probably worth more than a salary bump.
One more consideration - 401k is exempt in a bankruptcy.
Are you sure about that? I kept several 401k from my previous employers and only recently rolled them all into an IRA. I paid no additional fees...
SPY options are even smaller, if that matters. Personally, I think @Sig is right and the OP should do some reading before he takes the plunge.
What exactly is going to be problematic? Also, why would you forego an ability to contribute pre-tax? If you are contributing whatever the max...
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