i dont know much about inflation forecasting and rarely do I bother checking how much sense the forecasts make sense or make my own, but the 1.9%...
Going to close GBP short shortly. The currency doesn’t look too expensive against interest rates and given where EUR/USD is anymore, and don’t...
Getting rid of CAD steepener and long BA Z8 was a good move yesterday. I interpreted the statement that they could hike more but Poloz didn’t...
closed BA Z8 @ 98.34, CGB U7 @ 139.62, BA Z7 @ 98.625, XT U7 @ 97.24, IR Z7 @ 98.20 Waited too long to get on AUD/NZD and missed today's action....
i need a privilege to be able to edit posts for 15 days, not 15 minutes. Obviously I am talking about TU against white+red, not TY, above.
Rolled CZK for 3 more months at 0.17 cost. AUD/NZD is getting more interesting. The way I read AUD/NZD below 1.05 is that RBNZ is potentially in...
Thanks, but there is nothing to applaud. Full-time market participants definitely put more effort in a week’s time than me in a few months’ time....
First full quarter since the topic inception is over. Portfolio is 4.21% down in EUR terms, 2.86% up in USD terms from 10/02/2017 (50% USD, 50%...
Random thoughts. Perhaps I don’t read enough blogs and editorial articles, but finally saw in the media this week the argument that looks the...
Probably more EURNOK volatility to stomach this week. At prev meeting Norges Bank removed clause about higher probability for a cut than for a...
ha, totally wrong.
Got it all wrong on the Fed yesterday. USD stronger, curve flattened, fed path rate not downgraded. A bit more elaboration on my yesterday's...
rolled -3 6E from Jun to Sep (part of eURNOK and eURCZK) 1.12795 / 1.13335, +1 NOK M7->U7 @ 0.1195, 0.11974, -2 6BM7 ->U7 @ 1.2812, 1.2848. CPI...
Closed EDH8 short @ 98.49. Its yield is <10 bps down since the March meeting, yet inflation has been poor and I have a high conviction about 2017...
Week 29.05.2017: Long EDU1-EDU2: -750 USD Short EDH8: -500 USD Short EURNOK: -3610 USD Short EURCZK: +732 USD Short GBP, short long gilt: -800...
rolled -3 long gilts from june to sep @ 129.20, 128.13 rolled -5 CGB M7 into -3 CGB U7 @ 140.97, 145.4 rolled +2 bunds to sep @ 162.37, 164.36...
Back here. For various reasons amount of time I am spending on this is woefully below what I had in mind in topic start. - closed long IR U8 @...
Weekly pnl: EDU1-EDU2: -750 USD Short EDH8: +625 USD Short EURNOK: -3127.5 USD Short EURCZK: 348 USD Short GBP, short long gilt: -388 USD, +330...
closed long btp/short bund @ 160.49, 132.82. Will reestablish if this widens again. reduced BA Z8 long from 10 to 5 @ 98.80, but z7-z8 still...
Weekly pnl: · EDU1-EDU2: 0 USD · Short EDH8: +1250 USD · Short EURNOK: -1598 USD · Short EURCZK: +756 USD · Short GBP, short long gilt:...
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