Yep. That's another question. Trump seemed to beat his poll numbers by 3% or so the past two cycles. Will that reverse this cycle? I guess I'd put...
I think the bias of PA relative to the nation might be smaller this cycle, as minorities tend to be moving toward Trump, and Biden does better...
Another update from Insight Forecasts: [MEDIA] Basically, on average, a slight movement toward Biden in the polls, markets, and model. Biggest...
Several very good Trump polls yesterday, including a Rasmussen +5. https://www.realclearpolling.com/latest-polls I'd discount any one, but the...
Trump is still favored in the betting markets. Polymarket has him at 53-54 and Insight Prediction has him at 52.5-53.8. They are only down maybe...
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