You know, if someone has a truly systematic way of generating losses (other than thru paying too many commissions/spreads/slippage), then they...
Recent headline article in the Rocky Mountain News (Denver CO) newpaper stated that local housing prices went up in July, but sales volume dropped...
Many of the postings allude to winning with indicator X or discovering the indicator Y does not work. But, an indicator is NOT a trading system....
It seems that no one has figured out how to actually short their house. Selling your house and renting is really only a shift from a long...
JS11374, SIGH! I hear ya! I've done more than my fair share of simulations, gotten the conclusions, lost the original data/files, and...
I see several higher-level tongue-in-cheek answers to how to interpret this test: 1) If you took the time to go through the test, you shouldn't...
Thank you JS11374!!! Finally someone who has actually looked at the statistical distribution of Hurst values. Do you recall the standard...
I also wanted to publicly thank janko for asking this question and thank subsequent posters for for their many useful replies. I too have...
Oh, and don't forget that mortgage rates don't have to go up to have the bubble POP. In Japan, rates stayed low, but creditors stopped writing...
1) if they lose their jobs 2) if they need to relocate and find thier 300k home will only sell for 200k
You are right, daniel_m, I was just trying to point out that supply and demand is more complex than a simple pair of numbers (the quantity of...
I think what JS11374 and I are asking is the confidence interval on the Hurst exponent calculation. What is the chance that a random price series...
That USA Today article presumes that continued high demand for housing means continued high prices of housing (the old cliche about supply and...
Although I am sure that the Fed/govt can jaw-bone the big players into keeping the markets orderly and can ensure adequate cash reserves to...
The Stay Home mortgage idea sounds like just the sort of idiocy that has kept the Japanese economy in dumps. "Its not a non-performing loan, its...
Actually, if you trade weather futures, you just might have to meet a margin call after 3 days rain. Now if both meteorologists and stock...
My parents financed the construction of a new garage with credit cards and balance transfers - no finance changes for about two years before...
You might also check out "Chaos and Order in the Capital Markets" by Edgar Peters which has some explanation about H. ArchAngel is right both in...
Take a look at www.traders.com. They have both EasyLanguage scripts and discussion boards. Also, Runningbear (on thread <a...
Both Rigel and chasinfla are right -- Japanese gov't policy and cross-holdings exacerbated both the run-up to the bubble and the continuing sorry...
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