<<< I generally wait until 30 days before Expiration (when the Rapid Extrinsic Value Decay begins) before I decide to hold or bail on a Credit...
The question has been answered. Just some friendly option banter going on.
I know it was just a theoretical example, but if one were going to bail out at the slightest dip of being ITM, I would suggest using more narrow...
<<< I have learnt that concentrating on a few stocks pays off better than jumping into new stocsk every day. >>> As you will eventually...
I would agree. However, one of the nice things about option trading is that we don't have to trade based on "price direction". Instead, we can...
<<< If volatility is declining you want to be a seller and if it is rising you want to be a buyer. Provided all of the other assumptions line up...
I'll let the experts get into this, as I am NOT one of them. I'll simply say when IV is high, it's a good time to sell puts, as you can either...
Well duh! What's the point in stating the obvious? Talk about risk-neutral probabilities,... the end result of which, will be the obliteration...
Sold naked puts on CE for August. Credit $0.75 Annualized % return... 16% Company has very good fundamentals, and i like the tech support at...
<<< If something looks like it is topping a trading range, you would not want to sell a "95%" put spread. >>> Exactly my point. It's a "lazy...
I was just discussing the same issue on another board. I consider it a "lazy and risky" substitute for doing ones own analysis. Here is what I...
<<< I've been puzzlling over your 5 pt. spreads with 95% probability outcomes. >>> Personally, I think statistical "probability outcomes"...
I don't want to over concentrate anymore trades for July, so I thought I'd share my 1st potential trade for Aug. My order is in, and I'm just...
Nothing wrong with trading volatility, if that's your comfort zone. I'm looking into it myself. Currently my comfort zone is neutralizing as...
Use of T/A for evaluating potential trade: Xflat and atticus have made it clear, they do not use T/A as part of their analysis of potential...
Since atticus and xlfat have decided to change and twist the issue, formulas, context, ect... being discussed, I'll just leave it there. Lets...
Xflat, if you honestly think my link to and discussion of, the L-T chart on CB is somehow a part of the probability calculation under discussion,...
<<< We're using different end-points. PoP is different that the 1:1 risk determination. >>> Thank you for clarifying that you feel his .73...
Atticus, how can you say he's not using IV, when he stated above that he's using "average IV"? He also discussed HV. But those are different...
<<< I have no particular interest in your trade other than making sure anyone who happens along this thread is not fooled into thinking that your...
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