I can not predict the future and can not tell "when a breakout is going to happen". I wait until price increases above some historical high price...
No. If you track your trading, or backtest for a long period of time, and accumulate enough trades then I expect to see losing trades and losing...
SP500 index graph reminds me of the September 1990 SP500 index graph. Same sort of rounding bottom pattern. Probably doesn't mean anything.
I use the price trading range from various timeframes. I remember analyzing the 10 day range, 20 day, 50 day, 100 day range. Attached is...
I remember calculating average volume for NASDAQ with Excel spreadsheet. I recall downloading NASDAQ price and volume data from yahoo.com, pasting...
Yes. If there is a drought the nearest contract price can increase a lot but the next contract price might not increase and price can decrease.
There is a big difference between day trading and overnight position trading. Slippage and the opening gap can make a short term overnight...
That is how I use ATR, as a volatility indicator. I use ATR to calculate position size.
I disregard the Kelly criterion. It is the drawdowns that concern me. Risk has to be small enough so that the drawdowns do not make me feel sick....
Assume you bet 10 % of your money each time you trade. If you lose 10 times in a row then you lost everything and can not trade any more. Bet 1...
I suspect price change is about two days ahead of the news. Maybe there is some kind of peace agreement between Israel and Lebanon.
These are the results of a long term stock simulation using Consolidated Edison stock, symbol ED. The simulation is over 36.59 years from 2...
Assume the moving average value is 50.00. Price rises to 50.01 and you buy. The spread might be 0.10 or 0.20, below your intended exit price of...
You might examine the Zweig system that I remember posting on elitetrader.com. I find EURUSD tests well with 6 % entry, 1.3 %exit, 5 % risk, cash...
This is how I calculate the "extreme high price". Assume the simulation begins on day zero, HighPrice[0]. I set the extreme high price =...
This is an example of trading HLT using a long term Zweig trading system. This test uses these rules: 1) If price rallys 32 % from an extreme...
I recall about year 1980 Martin Zweig publishing a trend following system. I find this system interesting because it is independent of time and...
I write computer programs and test trading methods. "Modeling" trading methods might be a better phrase. I also write software to model the...
Why position trade long term? The following is what happens when a 10 day average is substituted for the 350 day average in the example above....
OK lets see what happens when I trade Boeing stock using a Bollinger Band system. Trading begins 2 January 1962 and ends 14 July 2006. These are...
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