Backtesting is curve fitting. So do you wanna say more curve fitting you get better results in the past or better realtime tracking results....
right, I meant no additional inflation, or inflation surplus because of...zero inflation is not good I agree too.
Somehow there is some magic involved with a loosening US Dollar on inflation regarding tariffs as 2018 has shown. So a weaker US Dollar helps...
Well it is posted below Economics, tariffs are important for actual valuation on stock market and so it is not unimportant. Again there is...
Be polite man. You could express your view softer. And you are not arguing.
There are now 10% tariffs on all countries (for 90 days maybe prolonged if no deal in meantime with that corresponding country) and US Dollar lost...
[ATTACH] According to this stat S&P500 should reach new Alltimehighs this year in 2025 already....
It is definitely time to cut interest rates now. Powell is due to cut rates NOW. SEE CPI TODAY at 2.4% below expectations.
About Truflation US Inflation Index Truflation provides a set of independent inflation indexes drawing on as many as 30+ data sources and 15+...
I mean if one thing is certain, that Powell cannot speculate. So speculating whether tariffs will increase inlation or not, he cannot judge by...
If numbers come in on Thursday as expected with CPI at 2.5% then Powell has no chance to not cut rates now or next meeting. Because himself he...
Discussion. About https://truflation.com/marketplace/us-inflation-rate [ATTACH] If this is any kind of true in similar ways, then way is the FED...
At least there should be good volatility in the markets as recently shown. So if the markets does not tank down 300 points in the SP500, it should...
yes probably. But I think below 5000 points there will be some buyers and below 4900 points when then SP500 hit -20% drawdown from Alltimehighs...
It is the open, of course some will sell as they got panics over weekend. But the close has around >+80% chance that it will be higher than the...
Another stats predicting rebound(s)... [ATTACH]
China is going bankrupt for longer if they do not negotiate and are hit harder by tariffs. They cannot afford a real trade war for longer. They...
I do not think so at all. Musk has certain inofficial power and said he wants a zero tariff zone between EU and USA. So many countries are just...
Well, I have a different opinion. I see 7000 points again in 2026 for the S&P500. In my recent other thread I rolled out the statistics I used it...
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