Dear ET members, I would appreciate if you could provide me with some feedback on my personal speculation / investing project. The project is...
Are you a socialist? Communist? ThetaSpec
secXces, Thank you for your reply. I guess I missed something in my research of technical indicators over the years. I will definetly try...
I am new to this board, and I am very surprised how aggressive and defensive people get. It does not make much sense. I always thought that the...
Brabed, There are multiple levels of statistical complexity one can use. We always start with something simple, such as linear regression, to...
Thanks for your insight. It was more of a philosophical question. I also wonder how much of a liquidity premium one should price in, when...
How so? We are talking exotic derivatives, just to clarify. ThetaSpec
Nazzdack, You are correct. What I was trying to say is that when you and I learn about consumer confidence numbers, they are completely...
Great post! Right on the mark! ThetaSpec
Kiwi, To determine a probable price movement one has to use rigorous statistical tests, staring at the charts and indicators is not the edge,...
Chart-reading with no scientific substantiation (aka statistical analysis) is my definition of technical analysis. ThetaSpec
First, a good stock market trader, well any market trader, will never rely on technical analysis. I use statistics in my trading, and each market...
If one runs a simple regression on monthly changes in the consumer sentiment index and subsequent changes in SP500 or DJIA, one will discover that...
I know that institutions do use Black-Scholes and binomial models. They claim that they have the "proprietary" models, but their quotes usually...
Separate names with a comma.