Sig's Recent Activity

  1. Sig replied to the thread What % of hedge funds make money? Are SOME really as clueless as retail?.

    Except the average hedge fund does outperform the average trader, especially when it comes to their targeted goals which are often much...

    May 26, 2018 at 9:29 AM
  2. Sig replied to the thread How market makers price earnings.

    Do you say that because the earnings season is limited and assuming you won't use the capital elsewhere the rest of the time? It does...

    May 25, 2018 at 2:38 PM
  3. Sig liked TheBigShort's post in the thread How market makers price earnings.

    I also want to mention that higher implied vol before earnings does not do a good job at predicting returns. In fact when there is very...

    May 25, 2018 at 1:59 PM
  4. Sig liked TheBigShort's post in the thread How market makers price earnings.

    Hey sig thanks for the reply. So I have purchased data that gives me the last 50 quarters of company's price move, estimate and...

    May 25, 2018 at 1:59 PM
  5. Sig liked TheBigShort's post in the thread How market makers price earnings.

    In image 1 those are the distributions of the last 48 earnings for multiple companies that recently had their earnings. (histogram with...

    Screen Shot 2018-05-25 at 10.26.34 AM.png Screen Shot 2018-05-25 at 10.30.31 AM.png May 25, 2018 at 1:58 PM
  6. Sig replied to the thread How market makers price earnings.

    Better lucky and right than right and unlucky sometimes right! Agree that this is an interesting subject, will look up your other post...

    May 25, 2018 at 10:59 AM
  7. Sig replied to the thread How market makers price earnings.

    So first I apologize for my simplistic reply, it sounds like you've looked at this more and with more rigor than I have. Your findings...

    May 25, 2018 at 8:27 AM
  8. Sig replied to the thread How market makers price earnings.

    It's not really a supportable assumption that the current quarter move would be related to the average move over the last x quarters for...

    May 24, 2018 at 9:53 PM
  9. Sig liked fyretrading's post in the thread Writing Covered Calls on a Married Put?.

    tl;dr markets are efficient and its all priced in

    May 24, 2018 at 9:40 PM
  10. Sig replied to the thread What % of hedge funds make money? Are SOME really as clueless as retail?.

    What percentage of people who don't invest in hedge funds have any idea what correlation in returns is and why institutional money that...

    May 24, 2018 at 6:45 PM
  11. Sig liked Saltynuts's post in the thread So, what is the end game with this never-ending U.S. public debt?.

    I'm not sure I follow the whole aircraft carrier thing. We are using our aircraft carriers to make China buy our debt? I thought they...

    May 20, 2018 at 7:44 PM