If you trade the trend directly, then determining when the trend begins and when it ends is the name of the game, no matter your time frame for...
This is why you should have predefined profit and loss levels. Sometimes a trend will hit your profit target, and then the trend will go on...
I personally only trade equities using HLC data and technical analysis. I use a moving average to determine trend that utilizes the work of John...
Identify trends is easy once you are in one. The real money is made by identifying when a trend starts and ends, in order to develop a positive...
Just some good reference material. Trend-Following Filters – Part 8 - It is a series of articles. Just change the last number in the url from 1...
Of course lag is the major drawback of MA's. There are low/zero lag MA's such as the Hull MA (twicing, thricing) and Ehlers' ZEMA and AZEMA, but...
I don't know if owning Jurik as a business is a smart decision. If you want advanced and free indicators that are just as good if not better, look...
You can model price as a complex signal with additive noise, or model price as noise itself, pink noise to be specific. Either way, that leads you...
You mention "a rolling average of each side." I don't know if you are aware of the concept of group delay (ie lag) in averaging. Perhaps take some...
What you are looking for in either a pattern or an indictor is positive expectancy. A whole science has developed around backtesting in order to...
Spike Trader doesn't know jack about moving averages. You all (especially Spike) need to read John Ehlers work. Technical Papers
A two day average adds 1/2 bar lag, but does put a zero in the transfer response at the Nyquist frequency.
The biggest problem with using MAs is lag. ie group delay. John Ehlers is the man to whose material you want to study when it comes to removing...
I don't want to make this a thread about Epistemology, but even if it seems like an inherent property, probability is still only a model, not...
Perhaps you are getting too caught up in semantics. Probability is just a way to model reality. How well does it model reality? In cases of human...
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