KevinD's Recent Activity

  1. KevinD liked beefcaketrade's post in the thread LJM Preservation and Growth Fund, collapsed by 82 percent! (WTF?).

    No such thing as free lunch though. If volatility stays elevated, it's also pricing a big move. Could still end up in the money. Do you...

    Feb 15, 2018 at 12:14 AM
  2. KevinD liked TheDudeofLife's post in the thread LJM Preservation and Growth Fund, collapsed by 82 percent! (WTF?).

    I calculated that with ES at 2519, with 10 days to expiration a price of 71.500 for this put would be a 122 % implied vol

    Feb 14, 2018 at 3:32 PM
  3. KevinD replied to the thread Gotta love ZERO RISK in the SP500 = $$$.

    "The more things change, the more they stay the same".

    Feb 14, 2018 at 11:51 AM
  4. KevinD replied to the thread There is no evidence of Russian collusion except.

    exGOPer with Trump's head on a stick? Yeah, I agree.

    Feb 14, 2018 at 11:49 AM
  5. KevinD liked Hotcakes's post in the thread There is no evidence of Russian collusion except.

    Please STFU. Your constant stream of shittalk has literally destroyed this forum and turned it into a wasteland of Democratic talking...

    Feb 14, 2018 at 11:48 AM
  6. KevinD liked volente_00's post in the thread Gotta love ZERO RISK in the SP500 = $$$.

    The most violent short squeezes I have ever witnessed in the last 20 years were during bear markets

    Feb 14, 2018 at 11:43 AM
  7. KevinD replied to the thread Gotta love ZERO RISK in the SP500 = $$$.

    the liquidity ebbs and flows throughout the day it seems. There are many individual bars that completely retrace the previous bar (on...

    Feb 13, 2018 at 4:10 PM
  8. KevinD liked tiddlywinks's post in the thread Gotta love ZERO RISK in the SP500 = $$$.

    I thought it was just me... forget individual bar ranges, the tick movement within bars turned sour. Not saying volatility is gone or...

    Feb 13, 2018 at 4:08 PM
  9. KevinD liked Rickshaw Man's post in the thread Gotta love ZERO RISK in the SP500 = $$$.

    I knew as soon as the media started saying get use to the volatility its here to stay, it would end.

    Feb 13, 2018 at 3:49 PM
  10. KevinD liked Frederick Foresight's post in the thread CL Journal.

    I'm doing my best to assume this isn't all imaginary. But it's hard.

    Feb 13, 2018 at 1:24 PM
  11. KevinD liked JackRab's post in the thread No , I am not Taleb.

    He is basically saying that forecasting doesn't work, because the outliers will wipe you out. On average you could be right... but that...

    Feb 12, 2018 at 1:17 AM
  12. KevinD liked toc's post in the thread Start of a bear market - DJIA January 2018.

    SPY 220 very possible, SPY 160 also possible in next 12-18 months. When major corrections occur, the downtrend is protracted over time...

    Feb 11, 2018