Since an option's IV must decline to zero by expiration, why don't options traders just sell-to-open calls/puts, hedge by buying/shorting the...
I see. It's better to change your plan then get stuck in a losing trade
More like its the middle of the night where I am. Anyway, if I'm going to be bullish, why not just buy calls?
I haven't bought anything yet... I'm just going to go with the calls.
Yeah, you're right. I'm just going to stick with a long straddle to trade earnings.
Or LEAPs.
That seems much better than taking on an unlimited risk.
Well, this second strategy (to simply profit from long-term directionality) was my original one, because Pfizer looks poised to beat its earning...
Because analysts have researched that PFE will go up, based on its fundamentals.
Yeah. Maybe I should just buy the April 19 calls and KISS.
I never said the call's vol'll come down to 14%. I said the underlying's vol will come down to 14% from 22%. Who knows where the vol of the call...
Buy April 19 calls using the proceeds from my naked sell. Then if I somehow get assigned on the short ones, I can exercise these to cover.
Pfizer is about to release its quarterly earnings. It's IV is at 22%, and should revert back to its mean of 14% after the release, I have a plan t...
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