Recent Content by betcashrun

  1. Winning Options Strategy on CT

    The underlying of these options are commodity futures with different physical deliveries. Commodity futures depends on interest rate and cost of...
    Post by: betcashrun, Oct 29, 2024 in forum: Options

  2. Winning Options Strategy on CT

    How can you arb the skew when the forward curve is assumed to be straightforward? The underlying of the Nov25 call is the Dec25 future!
    Post by: betcashrun, Oct 29, 2024 in forum: Options

  3. Winning Options Strategy on CT

    It is about futures options... You are not fully covered at all: October expiration refers to October physical delivery whereas November...
    Post by: betcashrun, Oct 29, 2024 in forum: Options

  4. Bitcoin Price Thread

    The probability given by the market to hit $100k by 12/31/2024 is rather 6.4% (binary call approximated by a vertical spread using the implied vol...
    Post by: betcashrun, Sep 14, 2024 in forum: Crypto Assets

  5. Bitcoin new lows in sight

    Since October 20, 2021: (using yahoo and a btc etf) Number of bitcoin daily performance below -8%: 15 (worst -20%) Number of bitcoin daily...
    Post by: betcashrun, Jul 9, 2024 in forum: Crypto Assets

  6. Is the crypto winter over?

    Easy answer: a new crypto will bring bitcoin down.
    Post by: betcashrun, Feb 13, 2024 in forum: Crypto Assets

  7. which Bitcoin ETF does not hold real BTC?

    In the Blackrock prospectus/presentation one can read: "Shares of the Trust are not deposits or other obligations of or guaranteed by BlackRock,...
    Post by: betcashrun, Jan 26, 2024 in forum: Crypto Assets

  8. Bitcoin Price Thread

    Brilliant! I am willing to buy 1/googolplex BTC at a googoplex-dollar price. It means BTC will reach one googolplex in the blockchain but I will...
    Post by: betcashrun, Jan 22, 2024 in forum: Crypto Assets

  9. How long does your Windows 11 Desktop PC take to start?

    Time to change from Windows to Linux
    Post by: betcashrun, Jan 3, 2024 in forum: Hardware

  10. ASUS A17 w/ RTX 3060 w/ two external monitors connected via USB-C yet only one is being recongized?

    How to set up multiple monitors in Windows 11: When you right click on the desktop, select "Display settings." Select "Extend these displays"...
    Post by: betcashrun, Dec 19, 2022 in forum: Hardware

  11. Need help figuring out bling spots and risk in this trade

    Post by: betcashrun, Sep 22, 2022 in forum: Trading

  12. IBKR mistakenly shows a nonexistent FX position for many days

    Obviously, you have a USD.JPY virtual FX position. A virtual FX position is just an OTC FX swap between your portfolio and IBKR where the implicit...
    Post by: betcashrun, Sep 10, 2022 in forum: Interactive Brokers

  13. How to hedge the USD?

    Assume you will sell USD1m on December 19, 2022 against GBP and assume GBP Dec19'22 Fut bid/ask: 1.1724/1.1726 (multiplier 62500). The purchase of...
    Post by: betcashrun, Aug 29, 2022 in forum: Trading

  14. Are option trades a zero-sum game?

    In theory options are a zero-sum game in a commission-free world where bid = ask. As a result, in reality they are not a zero-sum game. Edit:...
    Post by: betcashrun, Aug 23, 2022 in forum: Options

  15. Hedge fund Coltrane is up 223% after shorting tech stocks

    Title should be: Hedge fund Coltrane is up 69% after 30 months (or 23% APY).
    Post by: betcashrun, Jul 20, 2022 in forum: Wall St. News