Aged Learner's Recent Activity

  1. Aged Learner liked AaCBrown's post in the thread Aaron Brown's NFL Sports Betting System..

    S + N = 20%, this is what you observe. You can't measure S and N, you can only guess about them, hopefully with better than random...

    Dec 1, 2019 at 10:33 AM
  2. Aged Learner liked AaCBrown's post in the thread Aaron Brown's NFL Sports Betting System..

    I respectfully disagree with both. There's more honesty and fair play among gamblers than among Wall Street dealers. And both Wall...

    Dec 1, 2019 at 10:22 AM
  3. Aged Learner liked AaCBrown's post in the thread Aaron Brown's NFL Sports Betting System..

    Here's a non-sports example of pure shrinkage. A statistics professor instructs each student in the class to pick something that is...

    Dec 1, 2019 at 10:21 AM
  4. Aged Learner liked AaCBrown's post in the thread Aaron Brown's NFL Sports Betting System..

    You touch on some of the subtleties of shrinkage. It is a mathematical curiosity that you can improve estimates using completely...

    Dec 1, 2019 at 10:21 AM
  5. Aged Learner liked SimpleMeLike's post in the thread End of stock market....

    Wiseman02, Very very very wise man. You and I think alike.

    Dec 1, 2019 at 9:57 AM
  6. Aged Learner liked Kevin Schmit's post in the thread Survivorship bias.

    I think the major cognitive defect of ET posters is an apparent inability to discriminate between expertise and utterly poseuristic...

    Dec 1, 2019 at 9:53 AM